過去一年來,矽谷房市怎了?

註:10/17 再次更新,文末補上MLS 發布2019/9月與8月、2019 9月與去年同期比較數據

好幾個月沒有發行情報告,主因還是市場有點紛亂,並沒有明確的方向,所以不具參考指標。拉長期一點看,才會明顯感受也確立市場真的是跌價了,平均來說,成交中價位數減低、銷售量減少、新上市與銷售比例降低 (上市的多、真正賣掉的不多)。

以下兩張是加州地產協會的平均數據,目前只更新到八月,再下方的MLS數據才有到九月份的,我會一一解釋。

根據地產協會最新發布的數據,2019年8月Santa Clara County的房子(在此僅限Single Family) 要18天才會收到offer,38.2%上市的房子要降價求售,開價就是賣價 (這是平均值,在市場上買房子還是要參照周邊行情),中位數房價119萬美金,相較去年同期減少8.1%;市場上有一千三百多套房子在賣,相較去年同期多了6.1%, 共有875間賣掉;相較去年同期減少6.9%。

而根據MLS (Multiple Listing Service 經紀人專用平台)最新數據,2018第四季、2019第三季,平均來說100間房子正在銷售的房子大概只有51%順利售出,已經是近4年最低。

相較於2017年第一季到2018第二季都有超過65%甚至高達76%的Listing 售出甚遠。

過去一年Santa Clara Number of Homes For Sale vs Sold 
(銷售中的房子與售出房子逐月比例)
Time frame is from Oct 2018 to Sep 2019
County is ‘SCC – Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 20,000 listings
過去一年Santa Clara Number of New Listings vs Sold 
(新上市的房子與售出房子逐月比例)
Time frame is from Oct 2018 to Sep 2019
County is ‘SCC – Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 19,000 listings

降價求售的比例數據在2018年10月達到最高峰後,2019年從2月到8月也不斷攀升,超過20%的Listing會降價求售。

Santa Clara County過去一年銷售平均所需天數與加價率
Time frame is from Oct 2018 to Sep 2019
County is ‘SCC – Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 13,000 listings

看到這裡你應該會覺得奇怪,剛剛加州地產協會八月不是說要18天就賣掉嗎?加州地產協會數據只有抓Detached Single family,我則是選擇抓Single family, condo, townhouse。

過去一年Santa Clara 銷售價格中位數
(Sale Prices Over Time, Median)
Time frame is from Nov 2018 to Oct 2019
County is ‘SCC – Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from 12,359 listings

2019的市場還有幾點特殊現象可以跟大家分享

第一、Flipper減少了,Flipper占買家比例從2014 30%, 2015 26%, 2016 20%, 2017 24%, 2018 26%, 目前2019年僅有18%。 ( 可喜可賀 )

第二、賣房子住養老院還是市場上的大多數,大概有25%、大換小或搬到老人村者的年紀15%,其次才是換屋的中青年人,加起來12%。

第三、越來越多房屋持有者是賣了房子搬離加州,比例高達30%。上一次的高峰是2005年31%,2009只有19%,2015只有22%。

第四、All Cash Buyers減少了,達到10年來最低,僅19.7%。自2008年起就超過20%直到2012年逼近30%。

第五、 Listing Agent非常積極追買家,過去幾年賣房子非常容易,好賣、快賣、大賣,根本不用做什麼事就等offer上門,現在則是買方市場,反而是 Listing Agent 要來尋求Buyer agent合作,同時也會認真抓客人。

第六、買家有所保留,多轉為觀望心態,或希望在還是依然很貴的市場下撿點便宜。Open House來人數這一季相較於前半年增加不少,disclosure 也發出去不少,但是受到市場跌幅,下offer數減少了。

看完這些,你覺得市場很糟糕嗎? 其實也沒有!

市場還是有一些樂觀因素, 同時看看過去兩年在Santa Clara的失業率,僅有2.1%~3.1%之間,是歷史上最低,加上摘自Zillow Rental 的資料也顯示租金持續上升,2012~2019偶有修正卻持續上漲至新高點,顯示矽谷依然有大量且穩定的居住需求。

根據加州地產協會最新的2020分析報告,2010~2018 整個Bay Area新的工作機會有84萬5833個,新建房數只有18萬3111間,也能充分說明為什麼租金能不斷上揚,具有買房需求者依然眾多。

而充滿爭議性的數據,RHNA 區域房屋需求分配(Regional Housing Needs Allocation, RHNA)  顯示San Jose City依然有大量住房需求。

根據 Milken Institute’s Best-Performing Cities index  今年最新數據,矽谷 ( San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA MSA )是十大表現最佳城市的第二名。舊金山( San Francisco-Redwood City-South San Francisco, CA MD)則為第四名。

利率依然維持低檔等等。

以下附上加州地產協會在9月26日發表的2020年加州地產分析與最新預測報告

抓了兩張2018實際房地產相關數據與2019 年的預測比較,以及針對2020的預測。

2018年實際數據相較於 2019年的預測與目前數據
加州地產協會針對2020年加州房地產相關數據的預測

加州地產協會在9月26日發表的最新預測報告,也給成員一些建議。

賣房子的時候要精準標價,用數據告訴你的客人而不要用個人意見

協助客人搬遷往來於你熟悉的區域

買方分享專業知識與正確的數據

利率應該會到達史上低點,告訴客戶們記得Refinance

賣房子的時候要把房子搞得跟HGTV節目中的一樣漂亮 (這點好好笑,不過淺顯易懂,我有專業工班跟多家Staging company合作喔!)

不斷強調數據數據數據!還好以上我都有一直做到 🙂

若您有其他關於矽谷置產問題,或是買賣房屋的需求。

請利用以下方式與我聯繫、預約看房或賣房分析

  • 電話/簡訊  408-505-3003 (如未接聽請留言)
  • 電郵: chienmingwei@gmail.com
  • LINE: chienmingwei

我是全職加州地產經理 CA Real Estate Broker、National Board of Realtors、California Association of Realtors、以及 Silicon Valley Association of Realtors的會員。DRE#01973756

2019年4月矽谷房市行情報告

今年雨水特別多,植物長得特別好,但是灣區最近花粉症很嚴重,我也是眼淚鼻涕直流,相信很多人都有這樣的感覺。每天開車,車子上薄薄一層淡綠色,看起來很像濾鏡,其實就是很惱人的花粉。住在灣區這幾年,花粉症好像越來越嚴重了,前兩三年沒啥事,有時候鼻塞昏沉,今年會流涕與淚的。唉,我好像找到灣區的缺點了 !

據說花粉過敏吃藥有效,可是我是一個不想攝取過多藥物的人,不想研究也不想吃,去了Trader Joe’s 買了當地蜂蜜吃,如果再更嚴重,下周再去買花粉吧!記錄一下每年春天才會有的灣區事,接下來看房市吧。

跟上個月推測的一樣,大部分的城市,市場都有熱絡一點。但是最近半個月,市場上的inventory變多,價格可能會先穩住,上漲太多的機率不太高。我的建議是繼續看繼續下offer,也許你有機會拿到好deal!

不要再問我會不會漲會不會跌了,想長期留在矽谷就趕緊買吧,現在很好挑。每一個月花那麼多錢幫人家養房子會比存在自己的房子好嗎?如果你有換房計畫,先賣後買或先買後賣都能安全操作,我們可以約時間見面討論一下。

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Property Type is 'Residential'
Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse'
Results calculated from approximately 180,000 listings


Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 890 listings


Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Cupertino’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 310 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Mountain View’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 480 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Palo Alto’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 430 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Los Altos’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 300 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Menlo Park’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 380 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 770 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Area Name is ’10 – Willow Glen’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 640 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Milpitas’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 550 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Area Name is one of ‘Almaden Valley’, ‘ Blossom Valley’, ‘South San Jose’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 1,900 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Area Name is one of Cambrian, Campbell
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 1,600 listings

若您有其他關於矽谷置產問題,或是買賣房屋的需求。

請利用以下方式與我聯繫、預約看房或賣房分析

  • 電話/簡訊  408-505-3003 (如未接聽請留言)
  • 電郵: chienmingwei@gmail.com
  • LINE: chienmingwei

我是全職加州地產經理 CA Real Estate Broker、National Board of Realtors、California Association of Realtors、以及 Silicon Valley Association of Realtors的會員。DRE#01973756

2019年3月矽谷房市行情報告

先來貼一下各區域的 Average DOM & Sale to list price Ration

買氣跟氣溫一樣,已經逐漸回升,除了Open House 來人量,offer數相較於去年底到今年初,也明顯增加,從下列數據應該可以看出一點買氣回升的端倪。

不過市場還是沒有2017/2018的春天熱!

多數買家觀望心依舊,Disclosure送出去的多,收offer數大概是Disclosure的1/3,送offer還是不會太積極加價,但是幾個offer裡,總還是會有黑馬崛起的。市場正在發熱,我們繼續觀察後續發展。

Time frame is from Apr 2018 to Mar 2019 Area Name is '18 - Cupertino' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 540 listings
Time frame is from Apr 2018 to Mar 2019 Area Name is ’18 – Cupertino’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 540 listings
Time frame is from Apr 2018 to Mar 2019 Area Name is ’19 – Sunnyvale’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 890 listings
Time frame is from Apr 2018 to Mar 2019 Area Name is '8 - Santa Clara' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 950 listings
Time frame is from Apr 2018 to Mar 2019 Area Name is ‘8 – Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 950 listings
Time frame is from Apr 2018 to Mar 2019 Area Name is ’14 – Cambrian’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 810 listings
Time frame is from Apr 2018 to Mar 2019 Area Name is one of ’13 – Almaden Valley’, ’12 – Blossom Valley’, ’11 – South San Jose’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 1,900 listings
Time frame is from Apr 2018 to Mar 2019 Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 780 listings
Time frame is from Apr 2018 to Mar 2019 Area Name is ‘6 – Milpitas’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 570 listings

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2018年的矽谷房市分析報告

先跟大家說聲新年快樂!

happy-new-year.jpg

希望大家都有一個很棒的聖誕節&新年假期,我也回來上班啦,如果有關於矽谷房地產交易需求,可以開始跟我聯繫!

在此先整理一下2018年房市概況,再聊聊2019年的計畫

(想看之前所有房市分析請點擊這裡)

看數據之前,相信大家都感受到市場不再熱絡,在利率不斷攀升、全球經濟放緩以及中美貿易戰影響股市震盪的背景下,漲不停的房市終見喘息。

面對房市的修正,對於長期持有的買家、投資人都是一個機會,買家有更多選擇,投機客、Flipper縮縮手,也盼望這樣的調整讓市場更健康。

2018年9月矽谷房市行情報告一文,我就提到現在價格好談,後來我在10月~12月成交的房子,除了新裝修的房子還是熱門,其他一般condition的房子,幾乎都是低於listing Price成交,客戶在2018年6月進contract的全新房,我們也去跟建商談了價錢,建商也同意降價了。

2018年的房市走勢,1~5月隨著2017年的漲勢價格持續攀升至頂點,建商、社區行情依然不斷創下新高,後續因為利息調整,6月的open house我們就見到冷清的現象,7~9月還算平穩,美國國慶之後甚至還有一波熱潮,後來隨著股市震盪,10~12月都是修正的格局持續至今。

目前的市況因為房屋選擇變多,買家回歸理性,大致可以分為三種情形。第一、屋況條件好、地點好,依然深受歡迎,價格修正不到5%。第二、地點好、屋況普通的房子,買家評估只要能簡易修繕,價差能接受,多半也都會成交,價格修正約10%。第三、屋況不好、地點不夠好的房子則常常有買家棄標,必須back on the market 或甚至下市不賣了,價格修正率多達20%。

———————————————————————————————————————-

綜觀去年南灣交易量,本文數據均以2019年1月2日 MLS統計數據為準

2018年南灣:San Jose, Milpitas, Santa Clara(不包括Alviso), Campbell, Los Gatos, Saratoga, Cupertino, Sunnyvale 所有 Listing 數量為14119間,銷售了10847間

比較2017年同期(2018年1月2日 MLS統計數據)

2017年南灣:San Jose, Milpitas, Santa Clara(不包括Alviso), Campbell, Los Gatos, Saratoga, Cupertino, Sunnyvale 所有 Listing 數量為12657間,銷售了11898間

2018買氣的確不如2017,但是數據僅供參考,因為這其中不包括未上市的銷售、部分建商蓋好的全新房屋銷售。

———————————————————————————————————————-

此外,從我在MLS很常擷取下來使用的 Average DOM & Sale to list price Ration也能明顯的看出加價率減低、成交天數增加,顯示市場熱度不再瘋狂,買家回歸理性。先來看看我最熟悉的Sunnyvale,平均加價率幾乎是0%

SU

Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 920 listings以上這一篇是以Sunnyvale為例,南灣其他城市也都是類似的走向

Santa Clara

Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Postal City is ‘Santa Clara‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 890 listingsm

Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Area Name is ‘6 – Milpitas‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 500 listingsCB

Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Postal City is ‘Campbell‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 420 listingsCU

Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Area Name is ’18 – Cupertino‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 550 listingsB

Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 730 listingsPA

Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Postal City is ‘Palo Alto‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 440 listings以上數據能看出市況走向,但是每一個社區、每一個學區的成交價都與位置地點有別而有極大差異,如果要下offer,還是要做好精準的comparable.

矽谷房市的熱絡度跟股市一直是正相關,高點整理對於股市是健康的,觀察市況,想買房、換房的人一直都沒有少,但是股市震盪導致信心不足,預期2019應該會是維持高檔整理、交易量減少的現象。

若您有其他關於矽谷置產問題,或是買賣房屋的需求。

請利用以下方式與我聯繫、預約看房或賣房分析

  • 電話/簡訊  408-505-3003 (如未接聽請留言)
  • 電郵: chienmingwei@gmail.com
  • LINE: chienmingwei

我是專職加州地產經紀人 CA Real Estate Realtor/Broker、National Board of Realtors、California Association of Realtors、以及 Silicon Valley Association of Realtors的會員。DRE#01973756

2018年9月矽谷房市行情報告

好久沒有準時寫文章了!
九月份的周末都在看房,weekdays也是到處跑,剛好這陣子手上的買家南灣、東灣都有看,而上個周末(9/29~9/30)兩天,我整整看了20間房子。 Sunnyvale 兩房全數被我看完了,94087的house、Cambrian、Almaden地區也大概七成看過,Milpitas, N Fremont, Newark & S Union City新房、舊房我也是持續關注,
市場上買家還在,但卻因為市場上選擇多而放慢腳步。觀察不少地區,相較於今年3~5月的房價,依照區域有別,已經有10~15%跌幅。
房價漲跌向來就是供需面的互相影響,最快跌價的就是大型興建Town house/ Condo社區,因為此類型戶數多,如果遇到鄰居也在賣房子,甚至建商還有餘屋,銷售速度放緩,價格當然也有影響。
此外,大街上、高速公路旁、路沖、電塔、鐵道旁,此類型稱為「有硬傷」或「嫌惡設施」的房子在現在的市場上,影響尤大。除了電塔、鐵道、高速公路第一排我是特別堅持買方不要碰以外,能接受大街跟路沖者,只要地點好、學區好,反而是有撿便宜的機會。當然,如果有選擇,我們還是先從巷弄裡撿便宜就好。
相對保值的地方,就是學區跟交通房,不過學區房也不一定是鐵不跌,像是今年Great school 分數大改制,許多以往API高的好學區,分數紛紛調降,而市場上買家只對Redfin/zillow學區上的評分比較有感,所以以前老經紀(我老闆說的) 口中所謂的好區,舉例像是West San Jose 95129/95130 熱度非常明顯地不如往昔了。
價格相較今年最高點,有明顯跌幅的區域還真不少,在此就不一一列舉。當市場上一路往前衝時,大家奮不顧身搶房,現在房價過了最高點,買家心理的期待會變成「還會不會再跌?」每次我遇到這問題,就很希望大家去問問自己的算命師XD,如果你有高明的人指點,請他幫我回答這題。至於屋況、市場估價、檢查報告、賣方資訊、後續裝修、出租服務等等,我通通能回答。

歸納近期市況:
第一、買賣雙方正在拉鋸,多數賣方都必須讓步才能順利售出
也有開超低價吸引買家出offer的,比周邊成交價少個10~20%的「開價」還真不少,也有因此就收不到開高價的offer,只好又把價格調上去,最近Listing Agent不好做,賣房賣得戰戰兢兢,開太高沒人看,開太低又加不上去,所以不要再殺commission了 
九月幫客戶買到的兩間房子,都是低於今年春天甚至去年冬天的行情的價格
第二、市場上買家還在,但是持續觀望,下手一定想殺價
買家有剛需,看房行程未間斷,但如果目標不堅定,實在是難以下手。在這樣的市況下,如果我是買家,我一定也會有同樣的猶豫心態。不過殺價殺不殺得成,買不買的到,還是要回歸開價跟屋況,屋況新、開價低,多數還是要往上加的。
第三、投資客還是虎視眈眈,市場游資很充裕
還是有客戶天天LINE我:「這間不錯」「這間怎麼還沒賣掉?」投資客不如真實剛需的買家,現在要下手,難免猶豫不決。投資型客戶的煩惱是身邊有籌碼、可是股市太高也不知道放哪去。現在想入場投資,必須待長期持有,且一定要慎選地點啊。
(矽谷的租金報酬真的不好,扣除所有持有成本,如果有3%就算很高啦! 矽谷房價已高,不可能有高報酬!真的不是我不幫你找房…)
第四、利率持續攀升,房價小幅修正
舉例來說,之前100萬的貸款如果是30年固定利率4%,月繳$4774,現在貸款90萬,固定利率4.75%月繳金額為$4695,房價雖減但是利率不斷升,持有成本也不一定會變低
第五、市場上餘屋量越來越多,價格紛亂
有時候觀察同一社區、同一neighborhood,如果有多間餘屋者,價格一定守不住,但是如果屋況好、條件好,像是邊間、雙車位等等,不彷把握機會出價。
寫到這裡,大家應該擔心房價又要繼續跌了!? 我還是不悲觀啦,但是要慎選房、慎選地點,至於怎麼挑,跟你的經紀人好好討論一下。

以下數據就讓大家參考一下月與月之間的變化,去年同期跟現在的加價率、銷售所需時間平均值,至於各區域性的行情與出價等資訊,就需要精細的comparable、還有要與屋主跟Listing agent談談談、磨磨磨,磨出好價錢。

Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is 'Sunnyvale' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 920 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 920 listings

Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is 'Palo Alto' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 440 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Palo Alto‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 440 listings

Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is 'Mountain View' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 540 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Mountain View‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 540 listings

Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is 'Cupertino' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 320 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Cupertino‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 320 listings

Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is 'Santa Clara' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 950 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Santa Clara‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 950 listings

CB
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is ’14 – Cambrian‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 820 listings

Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is '17 - Saratoga' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 310 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is ’17 – Saratoga‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 310 listings

Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is '5 - Berryessa' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 770 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 770 listings

MI
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Milpitas‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 520 listings

AM
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is ’13 – Almaden Valley‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 400 listings

BH
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is ’12 – Blossom Valley‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 940 listings

 

EG
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is ‘3 – Evergreen‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 690 listings

Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is 'Redwood City' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 670 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Redwood City’ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 670 listings


謝謝上個月成交客戶的最新評價

我是 National Board of Realtors、California Association of Realtors、以及 Silicon Valley Association of Realtors的會員。

如果您有任何買賣房屋的需求。

請利用以下方式與我聯繫、預約看房或賣房分析

  • 電話 408-505-3003 (如未接聽,請留言)
  • 電郵:chienmingwei@gmail.com
  • 微訊:maggiechien002
  • LINE:chienmingwei

2018年5~8月矽谷房市行情報告

原來我的市況報告已經從月份變成季報(拍額頭)
實在是忙到沒有力氣寫文章啊!!
這應該是我的客戶們可以完全理解,有消息立即通報、有房屋立即帶看、有事情馬上處理…客戶的事情優先,寫文章就先放一邊啦!
尤其是這個八月,我交了五間房,其中三間是中古屋,兩間去年跟著買家一起排隊的房子,可說是去年的業績在今年實現。而中古房交屋過程出了點意外不說,還幫忙另一組客戶找了一家子可愛的租客。雖然日子過得有點混亂,吃飯常常是在路上快速來個麥當勞或越南三明治就解決,但是這數字創下個人紀錄,似乎也忙得不亦樂乎,工作上帶來的成就與助人的感動,已經大大超越收入這選項。
我沒有請助理,凡事親力親為,為的就是希望客戶在細微處都能感受到我的用心服務,當然也要怪自己多多少少有點工作狂,然後放不下心把事情交給別人🙄
好久沒寫文章,今天難得空檔想聊聊市場概況,我日日看房不間斷,當然我不可能天天外出看屋,不過天天刷手機、查MLS看每天上市房則是專職經紀每日必做的工作。
這幾個月觀察市況的結果發現,市場上買家其實還是不少,有剛需但是面對利率高、房源少的結果,總是會稍有猶豫,市場從五月Memorial Day瞬間冰凍以來,七月在國慶日之後稍有回溫,九月也稍有熱絡回升的跡象,但是瘋狂搶購的情況已經不復見。市況緩解下來時,出手不若也不必像今年三月之前積極。
漲多整理是必要的,這一個月以來,建商的新房有適度調整價格,漲幅不如去年激烈,中古屋市價則有點亂,我幫客戶買的房子已經不是用今年的成交價,甚至用去年的價格買到房子,買賣雙方的拉鋸戰在市場上非常明顯,僵持不下的結果,只要有點耐心,這兩個月看來多是買方得勝,當然也有賣方選擇直接下市,再待好時機賣房。
如果有在看房的都知道,房屋一定不會十全十美,總有地方需要調整、修繕,市面上缺點越多的房子以前矇著眼搶購,現在則是好殺價,如果不是太大的缺點,像是電塔第一排、高速第一排等等,還是有機會用好價錢買到好房子的。當然每一間房的屋況、屋主、買家的組合都不一樣,結果也非常多元。
昨天為了一位人在台灣的客戶看了矽谷中心百萬以下兩房,看房人潮有點零星,listing agent甚至不諱言說,有offer就滿意啦,加價率預計不到5%。我也看了幾間高價位的房,看房人數寥寥可數,看來上市時間要繼續拖長,期待有緣人。
如果你已經準備好了,現在正是買房好時機,與其跟大家搶破頭,不如現在冷靜下來好好挑房子,讓我來幫你好好談價格。而有些去年進不去的區域,現在反而是機會晉升好地段!
來看看南灣近半年的平均加價率跟上市所需日(去化所需天數)吧,市況就在數據裡!

PA
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Postal City is ‘Palo Alto‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 460 listings

Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is '19 - Sunnyvale' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 890 listings
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ’19 – Sunnyvale‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 890 listings

MV
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Postal City is ‘Mountain View‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 550 listings

CU
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Postal City is ‘Cupertino‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 350 listings

Cambrian
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ’14 – Cambrian‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 830 listings

Santa Clara
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ‘8 – Santa Clara‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 1,000 listings

Campbell
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ’15 – Campbell‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 810 listings

Saratoga
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ’17 – Saratoga‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 320 listings

Almaden
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ’13 – Almaden Valley‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 400 listings

WL
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ’10 – Willow Glen‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 690 listings

我是 National Board of Realtors、California Association of Realtors、以及 Silicon Valley Association of Realtors的會員。

如果您有任何買賣房屋的需求。

請利用以下方式與我聯繫、預約看房或賣房分析