2017 4月矽谷房市行情報告

請您動動手,到我FB按個讚,就能看到我即時分享矽谷地產市況

 

這周幫客戶下了幾個東灣、甚至北灣的offer,通通沒有拿到,歸咎原因「輕敵了!」

我以為房市只有南灣火熱,沒想到東灣、北灣都有十幾份offer的熱況,因為房價不高但是租金報酬不錯,也有許多現金買家在市場上獵房。

近幾個月矽谷房市熱銷,大部分的區域市場呈現搶房、房源從上市到進入合約日期明顯縮短、加價率急速竄升,除了 Los Altos 跟Palo Alto 加價率稍有緩息之外,其餘加價率繼續攀升,市場依然火熱。

請看下列不同城市的數據。統計期間為2016年5月到2017年4月,資料來源是MLS,請看圖參考最新市場成交數據與走勢變化。特別說明這些數據不分產品,包括Single Family, Condo, Town House的平均分析,部分區域跨Zip code,舉例來說Berryessa就有95131,95132,95133。

 

長條圖為上市到進入合約期間平均所需天數、折線圖顯示為平均加價率。

Sunnyvale
Sunnyvale     Time frame is from May 2016 to Apr 2017 Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 860 listings
Campbell
Campbell   Time frame is from May 2016 to Apr 2017 Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 860 listings
Berryessa
Berryessa Time frame is from May 2016 to Apr 2017 Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 790 listings
SC
Santa Clara Time frame is from May 2016 to Apr 2017 Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 860 listings
Cupertino
Cupertino Time frame is from May 2016 to Apr 2017 Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 600 listings

 

RW
Redwood City Time frame is from May 2016 to Apr 2017 Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 670 listings
E
Evergreen Time frame is from May 2016 to Apr 2017 Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 810 listings
ST
Saratoga Time frame is from May 2016 to Apr 2017 Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 350 listings

 

LA
Los Altos Time frame is from May 2016 to Apr 2017 Zip Code is ‘94022’, ‘94023’, ‘94024’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 450 listings

 

PA
Palo Alto Time frame is from May 2016 to Apr 2017 Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 460 listings

 

Mountain View
Mountain View Time frame is from May 2016 to Apr 2017 Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 570 listings

以上是市場趨勢大方向,房市經常因為學區、街道、治安、嫌惡設施(硬傷)有所區別,必須個案討論,如果您有任何關於矽谷房地產的問題想與我討論,請您與我聯繫。 謝謝

 

2017 1~2月矽谷房市行情報告

今天是驚蟄,灣區不打春雷,而是下了冰雹,跟房地產最近的市場一樣猛烈。

發表一下MLS 1~2月的銷售數據,1~2月的數據代表著去年底與今年1月的買氣,過了一個年,市場的腳步已經站穩,價格繼續挑戰新高,今年的買氣跟去年 (2016年3月我的文章) 買氣相比有增無減,矽谷房市已經熱到頂點,價格繼續前進,銷售量則因為淡季,維持著平均水平。市場上嚴重的問題是房源少、需求高,希望未來的兩個月,會有更多可售房屋釋出,平緩一下漲不停的房價。

其實,在去年總統大選選完一個月,我們就嗅到了市場蠢蠢欲動的氣氛,原本觀望的群眾紛紛跨入買房行列,在下offer的時候,更是能感受到市場的溫度,Mountain View, Sunnyvale, Santa Clara的offer數都在10份以上,近20份則是時有所聞,MV不加個20萬買不到、Sunnyvale Single Family好學區則是15%以上加價率才有counter offer的機會,如果是策略性開低價吸引買方目光的房源,時不時有超過30份offer甚至1月時,Santa Clara出現了55份offer的紀錄。

不僅中古屋需要激烈競標,連新房都是讓人等地苦哈哈,新房案源其實不少,只是想買的人更多,因此Mountain View就有建商的新房採取標售方式銷售。

若是新房案源,以往多數採用先建後售,或至少是半成屋之後開始選擇細部建材與設備,可以作半客製化的建築,且是固定價格銷售。這個新建社區則是連Model home都沒蓋,就開始接受排隊銷售,而且銷售方式是「投標」,而非採固定價格銷售。

截至3/5日為止,該案銷售經理就告訴我,上次release 12間,一共收到160份offer,平均加價9萬美金。 價格相對低的Town house平均加價10萬美金,Single family 平均加7萬美金,下一次的release預計在3/18日,到時候再看看會多瘋狂。

我們來看看MLS 1~2月的成交數據吧,請仔細參考數據圖片下方的圖說,有針對區域、產品別的說明。

第一張是南灣近10年平均銷售價格,區域有Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Santa Clara, Berryessa, Campbell, Milpitas

Time frame is from Jan 2007 to Dec 2017 Area Name is one of '5 - Berryessa', '15 - Campbell', '18 - Cupertino', '6 - Milpitas', '8 - Santa Clara', '19 - Sunnyvale' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from 46,971 listings
Time frame is from Jan 2007 to Dec 2017 Area Name is one of ‘5 – Berryessa’, ’15 – Campbell’, ’18 – Cupertino’, ‘6 – Milpitas’, ‘8 – Santa Clara’, ’19 – Sunnyvale’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from 46,971 listings

接下來是各大城市平均加價率與平均銷售成交日,

我有把某些城市的Single Family 數據獨立出來,以供參考。

Sunnyvale

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Sunnyvale' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 580 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 580 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Sunnyvale' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 890 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 890 listings

Cupertino

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Cupertino' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 350 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Cupertino’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 350 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Cupertino' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 250 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Cupertino’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 250 listings

Santa Clara

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Santa Clara' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 870 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 870 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Santa Clara' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 520 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 520 listings

Mountain View

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Mountain View' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 560 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Mountain View’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 560 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Mountain View' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 240 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Mountain View’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 240 listings

Berryessa

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '5 - Berryessa' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 820 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 820 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '5 - Berryessa' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 490 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 490 listings

Campbell

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '15 - Campbell' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 860 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ’15 – Campbell‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 860 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '15 - Campbell' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 570 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ’15 – Campbell‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 570 listings

以上是包括矽谷周邊的房市數據分析,若有其他數據或產品的分析等進一步需求,或是有買、賣房子的計畫,歡迎透過下列方式跟我聯繫。

  • 電話 408-505-3003 Maggie
  • FB/電郵:chienmingwei@gmail.com
  • 微訊:maggiechien002
  • LINE:chienmingwei
  • FB粉絲專頁:Maggie Chien-Realtor

3/7/2017 Updated! 補上 Evergreen, Blossom Valley, Almaden Valley House的平均成交天數與加價率

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '3 - Evergreen' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 550 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ‘3 – Evergreen’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 550 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '12 - Blossom Valley' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 670 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ’12 – Blossom Valley’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 670 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '13 - Almaden Valley' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 360 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ’13 – Almaden Valley’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 360 listings

2016年4月最新行情/漲勢確立 各自表現

按照慣例,我又來寫MLS最新資料數據分析,四月的數據反映的是三月的房市,上個月我們歷經了平均開價相較去年跳漲10%的日子 應該很多人好奇三月市場的變化

其實從Agent每天在市場打滾的體驗,下的offer數與看房人數多寡,Buyer的出價勇敢度,大概都能感受到灣區房地產的市場溫度,三月我們與同事在出價時,正常的房子offer數都在10份左右,Sunnyvale則都有15份offer,跟天氣一樣,三月房市已經比二月來的溫暖。

除了漲勢再起,成交日也變短。市場如此,Buyer的加價實力不夠可是買不到房子,這幾個月尤其以Sunnyvale & Berryessa 市場更為火熱,買方加價力道十足,不分產品平均加價率漲至今年高點,成交數明顯稅減以下從MLS統計就能看出,就能房價已經高不可攀的Cupertino還是能看到成交天數縮短,加價率在攀升。West San Jose也是差不多的市況,但是我抓的數據只有顯示Single family(沒為什麼,獨厚我的客戶而已,他正在找這裡的House) 請大家見諒 ^^

再次聲明,每個區域、每個Zip Code都有好區跟差一點點的區域,學區、街廓、鄰居素質、是否靠近高速公路、鐵道或重大建設,都與房價息息相關,每間房子在每個人的心中顯示的價值都不一樣,每一個Agent出價之前都應該給客人近期成交數據分析,評估市場與客戶承擔能力,才進行出價。

若有問題歡迎來電、來信討論

 

SU

Apr 2015 to Mar 2016 Sunnyvale

 

BE
Apr 2015 to Mar 2016 Berryessa

 

Santa clara
Apr 2015 to Mar 2016 Santa Clara
CU
Apr 2015 to Mar 2016 Cupertino

 

West SJ house
Apr 2015 to Mar 2016 95129,95130 House only

 

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