過去一年來,矽谷房市怎了?

註:10/17 再次更新,文末補上MLS 發布2019/9月與8月、2019 9月與去年同期比較數據

好幾個月沒有發行情報告,主因還是市場有點紛亂,並沒有明確的方向,所以不具參考指標。拉長期一點看,才會明顯感受也確立市場真的是跌價了,平均來說,成交中價位數減低、銷售量減少、新上市與銷售比例降低 (上市的多、真正賣掉的不多)。

以下兩張是加州地產協會的平均數據,目前只更新到八月,再下方的MLS數據才有到九月份的,我會一一解釋。

根據地產協會最新發布的數據,2019年8月Santa Clara County的房子(在此僅限Single Family) 要18天才會收到offer,38.2%上市的房子要降價求售,開價就是賣價 (這是平均值,在市場上買房子還是要參照周邊行情),中位數房價119萬美金,相較去年同期減少8.1%;市場上有一千三百多套房子在賣,相較去年同期多了6.1%, 共有875間賣掉;相較去年同期減少6.9%。

而根據MLS (Multiple Listing Service 經紀人專用平台)最新數據,2018第四季、2019第三季,平均來說100間房子正在銷售的房子大概只有51%順利售出,已經是近4年最低。

相較於2017年第一季到2018第二季都有超過65%甚至高達76%的Listing 售出甚遠。

過去一年Santa Clara Number of Homes For Sale vs Sold 
(銷售中的房子與售出房子逐月比例)
Time frame is from Oct 2018 to Sep 2019
County is ‘SCC – Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 20,000 listings
過去一年Santa Clara Number of New Listings vs Sold 
(新上市的房子與售出房子逐月比例)
Time frame is from Oct 2018 to Sep 2019
County is ‘SCC – Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 19,000 listings

降價求售的比例數據在2018年10月達到最高峰後,2019年從2月到8月也不斷攀升,超過20%的Listing會降價求售。

Santa Clara County過去一年銷售平均所需天數與加價率
Time frame is from Oct 2018 to Sep 2019
County is ‘SCC – Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 13,000 listings

看到這裡你應該會覺得奇怪,剛剛加州地產協會八月不是說要18天就賣掉嗎?加州地產協會數據只有抓Detached Single family,我則是選擇抓Single family, condo, townhouse。

過去一年Santa Clara 銷售價格中位數
(Sale Prices Over Time, Median)
Time frame is from Nov 2018 to Oct 2019
County is ‘SCC – Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from 12,359 listings

2019的市場還有幾點特殊現象可以跟大家分享

第一、Flipper減少了,Flipper占買家比例從2014 30%, 2015 26%, 2016 20%, 2017 24%, 2018 26%, 目前2019年僅有18%。 ( 可喜可賀 )

第二、賣房子住養老院還是市場上的大多數,大概有25%、大換小或搬到老人村者的年紀15%,其次才是換屋的中青年人,加起來12%。

第三、越來越多房屋持有者是賣了房子搬離加州,比例高達30%。上一次的高峰是2005年31%,2009只有19%,2015只有22%。

第四、All Cash Buyers減少了,達到10年來最低,僅19.7%。自2008年起就超過20%直到2012年逼近30%。

第五、 Listing Agent非常積極追買家,過去幾年賣房子非常容易,好賣、快賣、大賣,根本不用做什麼事就等offer上門,現在則是買方市場,反而是 Listing Agent 要來尋求Buyer agent合作,同時也會認真抓客人。

第六、買家有所保留,多轉為觀望心態,或希望在還是依然很貴的市場下撿點便宜。Open House來人數這一季相較於前半年增加不少,disclosure 也發出去不少,但是受到市場跌幅,下offer數減少了。

看完這些,你覺得市場很糟糕嗎? 其實也沒有!

市場還是有一些樂觀因素, 同時看看過去兩年在Santa Clara的失業率,僅有2.1%~3.1%之間,是歷史上最低,加上摘自Zillow Rental 的資料也顯示租金持續上升,2012~2019偶有修正卻持續上漲至新高點,顯示矽谷依然有大量且穩定的居住需求。

根據加州地產協會最新的2020分析報告,2010~2018 整個Bay Area新的工作機會有84萬5833個,新建房數只有18萬3111間,也能充分說明為什麼租金能不斷上揚,具有買房需求者依然眾多。

而充滿爭議性的數據,RHNA 區域房屋需求分配(Regional Housing Needs Allocation, RHNA)  顯示San Jose City依然有大量住房需求。

根據 Milken Institute’s Best-Performing Cities index  今年最新數據,矽谷 ( San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA MSA )是十大表現最佳城市的第二名。舊金山( San Francisco-Redwood City-South San Francisco, CA MD)則為第四名。

利率依然維持低檔等等。

以下附上加州地產協會在9月26日發表的2020年加州地產分析與最新預測報告

抓了兩張2018實際房地產相關數據與2019 年的預測比較,以及針對2020的預測。

2018年實際數據相較於 2019年的預測與目前數據
加州地產協會針對2020年加州房地產相關數據的預測

加州地產協會在9月26日發表的最新預測報告,也給成員一些建議。

賣房子的時候要精準標價,用數據告訴你的客人而不要用個人意見

協助客人搬遷往來於你熟悉的區域

買方分享專業知識與正確的數據

利率應該會到達史上低點,告訴客戶們記得Refinance

賣房子的時候要把房子搞得跟HGTV節目中的一樣漂亮 (這點好好笑,不過淺顯易懂,我有專業工班跟多家Staging company合作喔!)

不斷強調數據數據數據!還好以上我都有一直做到 🙂

若您有其他關於矽谷置產問題,或是買賣房屋的需求。

請利用以下方式與我聯繫、預約看房或賣房分析

  • 電話/簡訊  408-505-3003 (如未接聽請留言)
  • 電郵: chienmingwei@gmail.com
  • LINE: chienmingwei

我是全職加州地產經理 CA Real Estate Broker、National Board of Realtors、California Association of Realtors、以及 Silicon Valley Association of Realtors的會員。DRE#01973756

買房故事分享-百房中之選

今年的房市整理,買家一定要自願且快樂地下offer。

這組客戶超有緣,我們在台灣有共同的朋友,然後灣區相遇,去年就跟我說要看房買房,我們一起觀察房市且等待今年資金到齊之後,積極看房。

平均一個禮拜看5間房,據客戶自己說看了五個月、看了大概破百間房 (有嗎? 有嗎? 我真的忘了)。我還算喜歡看房,客戶自己的爸爸也是房地產專家,跟懂房子的人一起看房總是很爽快,所以我也真沒去計算我們看過幾間,不過我記得這是第三個offer。

一開始我們鎖定Cambian & Almaden,看來看去一樣的預算還是青山綠水的大房型泳池別墅獲青睞,於是Almaden成了我們的首選。

由於工作性質的關係,我們必須挑選move in ready的房子,前兩次offer都少了幾萬,這一次客人很猛,油門要催到底,不過我比較謹慎,也提醒地基需要一點費用加強。勸退之下,幫客戶少了三萬投標,最後counter再加一萬,而估價報告的結果則比我們買價還多2.95萬,loan agent還開玩笑說買到已經賺到。

最近遇到的賣家都很好,這個賣家分別給了兩次walk through,尤其是賣家工程師先生介紹建材真是鉅細靡遺。 三月才剛剛remodel的房子,用了重達700磅的大門、兩個電子壁爐、全新的廚房、電器、窗戶、全新紅木的deck、Andersen Sliding door、電動窗簾等等,雖然remodel房子是為了賣房,卻也選用中上的建材,不是隨便馬虎草率了事。

最後交鑰匙的時候,還留下自己聯繫方式、contractor聯繫方式、保固資料、介紹泳池設備包括濾水器、熱水器等如何使用、交代家裡的線路、建材、剩下的油漆、地板板材、甚至填縫劑通通都留下來給我的客戶了。

現在的市場很難買也很好買?!

很難買的是無法下定決心的買家,如果猶豫不決,心理預期房市會再下跌,一心想殺到不合乎行情的價格,這樣的客人只好被市場淘汰了,當買家心理還沒完全準備好,什麼價格都不夠便宜。

好買的原因則是房市回歸理性,比起去年瘋搶的市場,更有充裕的時間好好看房,且利率回跌,購買成本相對低些。

如果有點耐心,加上財務跟心理都到位,一定會買到非常滿意的房子,今年價格比去年更好談、且同樣預算可以從Condo進階到townhouse、從townhouse進階到single family,或是在區域性的差異,可以買到更好的地點。何不把握機會?

我的客戶就是在這樣的情況下,買到一個全新裝修、Move in ready 且理想中的超值房。再次恭喜我的客戶,搬家準備迎接節慶!🏡🍁🏊‍♀️

為保護客戶隱私,圖非客戶現在買到的房,而是我倆看房的「足跡」之一。

2019年4月矽谷房市行情報告

今年雨水特別多,植物長得特別好,但是灣區最近花粉症很嚴重,我也是眼淚鼻涕直流,相信很多人都有這樣的感覺。每天開車,車子上薄薄一層淡綠色,看起來很像濾鏡,其實就是很惱人的花粉。住在灣區這幾年,花粉症好像越來越嚴重了,前兩三年沒啥事,有時候鼻塞昏沉,今年會流涕與淚的。唉,我好像找到灣區的缺點了 !

據說花粉過敏吃藥有效,可是我是一個不想攝取過多藥物的人,不想研究也不想吃,去了Trader Joe’s 買了當地蜂蜜吃,如果再更嚴重,下周再去買花粉吧!記錄一下每年春天才會有的灣區事,接下來看房市吧。

跟上個月推測的一樣,大部分的城市,市場都有熱絡一點。但是最近半個月,市場上的inventory變多,價格可能會先穩住,上漲太多的機率不太高。我的建議是繼續看繼續下offer,也許你有機會拿到好deal!

不要再問我會不會漲會不會跌了,想長期留在矽谷就趕緊買吧,現在很好挑。每一個月花那麼多錢幫人家養房子會比存在自己的房子好嗎?如果你有換房計畫,先賣後買或先買後賣都能安全操作,我們可以約時間見面討論一下。

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Property Type is 'Residential'
Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse'
Results calculated from approximately 180,000 listings


Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 890 listings


Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Cupertino’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 310 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Mountain View’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 480 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Palo Alto’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 430 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Los Altos’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 300 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Menlo Park’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 380 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 770 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Area Name is ’10 – Willow Glen’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 640 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Milpitas’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 550 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Area Name is one of ‘Almaden Valley’, ‘ Blossom Valley’, ‘South San Jose’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 1,900 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Area Name is one of Cambrian, Campbell
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 1,600 listings

若您有其他關於矽谷置產問題,或是買賣房屋的需求。

請利用以下方式與我聯繫、預約看房或賣房分析

  • 電話/簡訊  408-505-3003 (如未接聽請留言)
  • 電郵: chienmingwei@gmail.com
  • LINE: chienmingwei

我是全職加州地產經理 CA Real Estate Broker、National Board of Realtors、California Association of Realtors、以及 Silicon Valley Association of Realtors的會員。DRE#01973756

這個冬天的修房小雜事

家中全室remodel完畢大概9個月了,有時候必須得過了一年四季才會知道房子有那些問題。這個冬天我們做了幾件事情,跟大家分享一下。

一、 Gutter Guard: 我家隔壁有顆大紅木,夏末開始我家前院、屋頂都是落葉,直到還是持續有零星落葉,還好夏末快下雨之前,我就請清理gutter的handyman幫我加上網子,可以隨時打開來看那種,未來希望可以自己上屋頂吹吹落葉就好,而不需要太費勁清理gutter。

我們加網子而沒加Gutter protectors/cover是想說網子還能看到gutter大概狀況,最近覺得檔大葉子效果不錯,至於會不會淤積,接下來再觀察一下。

關於Gutter周邊產品有很多,有Rain gutter foam、gutter protectors、cover等,大家可以上網查查不同的效用,Home Depot都買的到,施工時注意安全,如果家裡周圍沒有大樹,也許根本不需要加裝。

二、Downspout Extension: 前幾天下大雨才發現之前gutter水往下流的管線離房子好近,很怕地基因此受潮,於是買了Downspout Extension希望水流能遠離房子跟地基。

三、Filter:因為所有冷暖氣機都是新的,窗戶也很少開,但是卻發現灰塵問題異常嚴重,之前出門一陣子回來感冒還久咳不止,想來想去不對勁,一拆開暖氣濾網口才發現,原來之前裝冷暖氣廠商給的濾網薄如紙,根本沒有過濾空氣的效用,家中的灰塵就不斷地循環著。

安裝全新管線加冷暖氣機上萬美金,一個濾網最貴也不過$20~$30,摸摸鼻子自己換上最好的,建議都是一年至少要換一次,濾網購買之前要記得看一下尺寸。

四、Threshold & Weatherstrip,冬天的冷風吹才知道門縫有多大,我家門特殊點,所以地板是自己貼上Vinyl Replacement Insert for Threshold,購自Homedepot。另一個小門框則是從Amazon買到的Weatherstrip自行貼上,很容易操作。

分享幾樣自家的小小工DIY,如果有更專業的建議,歡迎留言指教。

房子總是有些小問題需要不斷修修補補👨‍🔧👩‍🔧,最近又發現全新的Stucco已經有些細微裂縫,地基外圍也有小小裂縫,應該是house settlement,有機會再問問建築師跟結構技師該怎麼處理,再來分享給大家。

#Remodel #修房子 #Handyman #Gutter

2018年9月矽谷房市行情報告

好久沒有準時寫文章了!
九月份的周末都在看房,weekdays也是到處跑,剛好這陣子手上的買家南灣、東灣都有看,而上個周末(9/29~9/30)兩天,我整整看了20間房子。 Sunnyvale 兩房全數被我看完了,94087的house、Cambrian、Almaden地區也大概七成看過,Milpitas, N Fremont, Newark & S Union City新房、舊房我也是持續關注,
市場上買家還在,但卻因為市場上選擇多而放慢腳步。觀察不少地區,相較於今年3~5月的房價,依照區域有別,已經有10~15%跌幅。
房價漲跌向來就是供需面的互相影響,最快跌價的就是大型興建Town house/ Condo社區,因為此類型戶數多,如果遇到鄰居也在賣房子,甚至建商還有餘屋,銷售速度放緩,價格當然也有影響。
此外,大街上、高速公路旁、路沖、電塔、鐵道旁,此類型稱為「有硬傷」或「嫌惡設施」的房子在現在的市場上,影響尤大。除了電塔、鐵道、高速公路第一排我是特別堅持買方不要碰以外,能接受大街跟路沖者,只要地點好、學區好,反而是有撿便宜的機會。當然,如果有選擇,我們還是先從巷弄裡撿便宜就好。
相對保值的地方,就是學區跟交通房,不過學區房也不一定是鐵不跌,像是今年Great school 分數大改制,許多以往API高的好學區,分數紛紛調降,而市場上買家只對Redfin/zillow學區上的評分比較有感,所以以前老經紀(我老闆說的) 口中所謂的好區,舉例像是West San Jose 95129/95130 熱度非常明顯地不如往昔了。
價格相較今年最高點,有明顯跌幅的區域還真不少,在此就不一一列舉。當市場上一路往前衝時,大家奮不顧身搶房,現在房價過了最高點,買家心理的期待會變成「還會不會再跌?」每次我遇到這問題,就很希望大家去問問自己的算命師XD,如果你有高明的人指點,請他幫我回答這題。至於屋況、市場估價、檢查報告、賣方資訊、後續裝修、出租服務等等,我通通能回答。

歸納近期市況:
第一、買賣雙方正在拉鋸,多數賣方都必須讓步才能順利售出
也有開超低價吸引買家出offer的,比周邊成交價少個10~20%的「開價」還真不少,也有因此就收不到開高價的offer,只好又把價格調上去,最近Listing Agent不好做,賣房賣得戰戰兢兢,開太高沒人看,開太低又加不上去,所以不要再殺commission了 
九月幫客戶買到的兩間房子,都是低於今年春天甚至去年冬天的行情的價格
第二、市場上買家還在,但是持續觀望,下手一定想殺價
買家有剛需,看房行程未間斷,但如果目標不堅定,實在是難以下手。在這樣的市況下,如果我是買家,我一定也會有同樣的猶豫心態。不過殺價殺不殺得成,買不買的到,還是要回歸開價跟屋況,屋況新、開價低,多數還是要往上加的。
第三、投資客還是虎視眈眈,市場游資很充裕
還是有客戶天天LINE我:「這間不錯」「這間怎麼還沒賣掉?」投資客不如真實剛需的買家,現在要下手,難免猶豫不決。投資型客戶的煩惱是身邊有籌碼、可是股市太高也不知道放哪去。現在想入場投資,必須待長期持有,且一定要慎選地點啊。
(矽谷的租金報酬真的不好,扣除所有持有成本,如果有3%就算很高啦! 矽谷房價已高,不可能有高報酬!真的不是我不幫你找房…)
第四、利率持續攀升,房價小幅修正
舉例來說,之前100萬的貸款如果是30年固定利率4%,月繳$4774,現在貸款90萬,固定利率4.75%月繳金額為$4695,房價雖減但是利率不斷升,持有成本也不一定會變低
第五、市場上餘屋量越來越多,價格紛亂
有時候觀察同一社區、同一neighborhood,如果有多間餘屋者,價格一定守不住,但是如果屋況好、條件好,像是邊間、雙車位等等,不彷把握機會出價。
寫到這裡,大家應該擔心房價又要繼續跌了!? 我還是不悲觀啦,但是要慎選房、慎選地點,至於怎麼挑,跟你的經紀人好好討論一下。

以下數據就讓大家參考一下月與月之間的變化,去年同期跟現在的加價率、銷售所需時間平均值,至於各區域性的行情與出價等資訊,就需要精細的comparable、還有要與屋主跟Listing agent談談談、磨磨磨,磨出好價錢。

Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is 'Sunnyvale' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 920 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 920 listings

Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is 'Palo Alto' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 440 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Palo Alto‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 440 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is 'Mountain View' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 540 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Mountain View‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 540 listings

Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is 'Cupertino' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 320 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Cupertino‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 320 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is 'Santa Clara' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 950 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Santa Clara‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 950 listings
CB
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is ’14 – Cambrian‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 820 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is '17 - Saratoga' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 310 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is ’17 – Saratoga‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 310 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is '5 - Berryessa' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 770 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 770 listings
MI
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Milpitas‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 520 listings
AM
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is ’13 – Almaden Valley‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 400 listings
BH
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is ’12 – Blossom Valley‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 940 listings
EG
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Area Name is ‘3 – Evergreen‘ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 690 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is 'Redwood City' Property Type is one of 'Residential', 'Residential Income (1-4 units)' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 670 listings
Time frame is from Oct 2017 to Sep 2018 Postal City is ‘Redwood City’ Property Type is one of ‘Residential’, ‘Residential Income (1-4 units)’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 670 listings

謝謝上個月成交客戶的最新評價

我是 National Board of Realtors、California Association of Realtors、以及 Silicon Valley Association of Realtors的會員。

如果您有任何買賣房屋的需求。

請利用以下方式與我聯繫、預約看房或賣房分析

  • 電話 408-505-3003 (如未接聽,請留言)
  • 電郵:chienmingwei@gmail.com
  • 微訊:maggiechien002
  • LINE:chienmingwei

2018年5~8月矽谷房市行情報告

原來我的市況報告已經從月份變成季報(拍額頭)
實在是忙到沒有力氣寫文章啊!!這應該是我的客戶們可以完全理解,有消息立即通報、有房屋立即帶看、有事情馬上處理…客戶的事情優先,寫文章就先放一邊啦!
尤其是這個八月,我交了五間房,其中三間是中古屋,兩間去年跟著買家一起排隊的房子,可說是去年的業績在今年實現。而中古房交屋過程出了點意外不說,還幫忙另一組客戶找了一家子可愛的租客。雖然日子過得有點混亂,吃飯常常是在路上快速來個麥當勞或越南三明治就解決,但是這數字創下個人紀錄,似乎也忙得不亦樂乎,工作上帶來的成就與助人的感動,已經大大超越收入這選項。
我沒有請助理,凡事親力親為,為的就是希望客戶在細微處都能感受到我的用心服務,當然也要怪自己多多少少有點工作狂,然後放不下心把事情交給別人🙄
好久沒寫文章,今天難得空檔想聊聊市場概況,我日日看房不間斷,當然我不可能天天外出看屋,不過天天刷手機、查MLS看每天上市房則是專職經紀每日必做的工作。
這幾個月觀察市況的結果發現,市場上買家其實還是不少,有剛需但是面對利率高、房源少的結果,總是會稍有猶豫,市場從五月Memorial Day瞬間冰凍以來,七月在國慶日之後稍有回溫,九月也稍有熱絡回升的跡象,但是瘋狂搶購的情況已經不復見。市況緩解下來時,出手不若也不必像今年三月之前積極。
漲多整理是必要的,這一個月以來,建商的新房有適度調整價格,漲幅不如去年激烈,中古屋市價則有點亂,我幫客戶買的房子已經不是用今年的成交價,甚至用去年的價格買到房子,買賣雙方的拉鋸戰在市場上非常明顯,僵持不下的結果,只要有點耐心,這兩個月看來多是買方得勝,當然也有賣方選擇直接下市,再待好時機賣房。
如果有在看房的都知道,房屋一定不會十全十美,總有地方需要調整、修繕,市面上缺點越多的房子以前矇著眼搶購,現在則是好殺價,如果不是太大的缺點,像是電塔第一排、高速第一排等等,還是有機會用好價錢買到好房子的。當然每一間房的屋況、屋主、買家的組合都不一樣,結果也非常多元。
昨天為了一位人在台灣的客戶看了矽谷中心百萬以下兩房,看房人潮有點零星,listing agent甚至不諱言說,有offer就滿意啦,加價率預計不到5%。我也看了幾間高價位的房,看房人數寥寥可數,看來上市時間要繼續拖長,期待有緣人。
如果你已經準備好了,現在正是買房好時機,與其跟大家搶破頭,不如現在冷靜下來好好挑房子,讓我來幫你好好談價格。而有些去年進不去的區域,現在反而是機會晉升好地段!
來看看南灣近半年的平均加價率跟上市所需日(去化所需天數)吧,市況就在數據裡!

PA
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Postal City is ‘Palo Alto‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 460 listings

Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is '19 - Sunnyvale' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 890 listings
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ’19 – Sunnyvale‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 890 listings

MV
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Postal City is ‘Mountain View‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 550 listings

CU
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Postal City is ‘Cupertino‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 350 listings

Cambrian
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ’14 – Cambrian‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 830 listings

Santa Clara
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ‘8 – Santa Clara‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 1,000 listings

Campbell
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ’15 – Campbell‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 810 listings

Saratoga
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ’17 – Saratoga‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 320 listings

Almaden
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ’13 – Almaden Valley‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 400 listings

WL
Time frame is from Sep 2017 to Aug 2018 Area Name is ’10 – Willow Glen‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 690 listings

我是 National Board of Realtors、California Association of Realtors、以及 Silicon Valley Association of Realtors的會員。

如果您有任何買賣房屋的需求。

請利用以下方式與我聯繫、預約看房或賣房分析

2018年2~4月矽谷房市行情報告

這段時間房價來到史上高點,所有的數字都破了紀錄,我也忙到翻過去,加上媒體不斷報導矽谷房市點滴事跡,都在在顯示房市已經熱到頂點。

然而,隨著股市動盪、利率走揚,目前市面上的房子成交所需天數已經拉長,買房加價力道不再、所需成交天數已經拉長,市況已經能從MLS數據窺見一二,從市場買氣來觀察,房市最高點已過,接下來我們要面臨整理期了。

請仔細讀到最下文,有一個今天跑出來的最新數據。

SU

Sunnyvale ↑  Time frame is from Jun 2017 to May 2018

Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 910 listings
CU

Cupertino ↑Time frame is from Jun 2017 to May 2018

Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 580 listings
BB

Berryessa↑ Time frame is from Jun 2017 to May 2018

Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 840 listings
Campbell

 Campbell ↑ Time frame is from Jun 2017 to May 2018

Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 810 listings
SC

Santa Clara ↑ Time frame is from Jun 2017 to May 2018

Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 1,100 listings
CB

Cambrian↑ Time frame is from Jun 2017 to May 2018

Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 860 listings
截至今日(6/13日) 我查看在整個 Santa Clara County 的MLS數據,過去30天內因故取消(166家)、暫時下市(63家)、或過期的Listing(21家)總共250間,其中最高價為1150萬元的Los Altos Hills豪宅到1B/1B 38.7萬元的San Jose condo都受到影響。
Untitled
過去30~60天內因故取消(127家)、暫時下市(31家)、合約到期未售出的Listing(29家)總共187間
過去60~90天內因故取消(79家)、暫時下市(21家)、合約到期未售出的Listing(29家)總共122間
過去90~120天內因故取消(62家)、暫時下市(15家)、合約到期未售出的Listing(22家)總共99間
今天利率又漲了,市場正在修正的狀況很明顯
無論市場好壞,大家總是喜歡問我:會不會繼續漲?會不會繼續跌?
我真的不是算命的,我只能盡力在買賣過程,讓你有一個安全順利的transaction。

1758 Cross Way #255 【Pending in 6 days】

 

1758 Cross Way #255SAN JOSE, CA 95125

 

 

A boutique community with only 10 units and 100% homeowner-occupied. 3 assigned carport spaces provide lots of flexibility! This bright and airy unit with large windows is only eight years old. It’s an end unit, townhouse style condominium, with a large living room and a patio with tree-lined views. Three bedrooms upstairs offers plenty of privacy. Beautiful lighter colored hardwood floor throughout. Granite slab kitchen counter top. Security and intercom system wired-in. Gas fireplace with marble and decorative surround. 4 miles to the proposed SJ Google campus, 7 miles to SJ Airport and only 2 miles to downtown Willow Glen. Near major freeways (87, 85, 280), mass transit (Tamien VTA/Caltrain station), and Willow Glen Village plaza. In-unit full size laundry, dual pane windows, central Heating/AC. This unit is at a lower elevation than the Hwy 87 noise barrier, so it’s much quieter than expected. Come take a listen for yourself! Park at #13, #15, #19 while open house.

Contact me 408-505-3003 for a private house tour! 

 

1758 Cross Way #235 SAN JOSE, CA 95125

【SOLD】

 

Boutique community with only 10 units and 90% homeowner-occupied. This eight-year-old, corner unit, townhouse style condominium is near major freeways (87, 85, 280), mass transit (Tamien VTA/Caltrain station), and Willow Glen Village plaza. 3 Bedrooms/2.5 Bathrooms with bright and airy Living & Dining rooms. 3 assigned carport spaces provide lots of flexibility! In-unit full size laundry, dual pane windows. Beautiful oak hardwood floor throughout. Granite slab kitchen counter top. Security and intercom system wired-in. Gas fireplace with marble and decorative surround. 4 miles to the proposed SJ Google campus, 7 miles to SJ Airport and only 2 miles to downtown Willow Glen. HOA is $328 which includes water and garbage. Award winning Willow Glen schools.