2019年4月矽谷房市行情報告

今年雨水特別多,植物長得特別好,但是灣區最近花粉症很嚴重,我也是眼淚鼻涕直流,相信很多人都有這樣的感覺。每天開車,車子上薄薄一層淡綠色,看起來很像濾鏡,其實就是很惱人的花粉。住在灣區這幾年,花粉症好像越來越嚴重了,前兩三年沒啥事,有時候鼻塞昏沉,今年會流涕與淚的。唉,我好像找到灣區的缺點了 !

據說花粉過敏吃藥有效,可是我是一個不想攝取過多藥物的人,不想研究也不想吃,去了Trader Joe’s 買了當地蜂蜜吃,如果再更嚴重,下周再去買花粉吧!記錄一下每年春天才會有的灣區事,接下來看房市吧。

跟上個月推測的一樣,大部分的城市,市場都有熱絡一點。但是最近半個月,市場上的inventory變多,價格可能會先穩住,上漲太多的機率不太高。我的建議是繼續看繼續下offer,也許你有機會拿到好deal!

不要再問我會不會漲會不會跌了,想長期留在矽谷就趕緊買吧,現在很好挑。每一個月花那麼多錢幫人家養房子會比存在自己的房子好嗎?如果你有換房計畫,先賣後買或先買後賣都能安全操作,我們可以約時間見面討論一下。

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Property Type is 'Residential'
Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse'
Results calculated from approximately 180,000 listings


Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 890 listings


Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Cupertino’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 310 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Mountain View’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 480 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Palo Alto’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 430 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Los Altos’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 300 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Menlo Park’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 380 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 770 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Area Name is ’10 – Willow Glen’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 640 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Postal City is ‘Milpitas’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 550 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Area Name is one of ‘Almaden Valley’, ‘ Blossom Valley’, ‘South San Jose’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 1,900 listings

Time frame is from May 2018 to Apr 2019
Area Name is one of Cambrian, Campbell
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 1,600 listings

若您有其他關於矽谷置產問題,或是買賣房屋的需求。

請利用以下方式與我聯繫、預約看房或賣房分析

  • 電話/簡訊  408-505-3003 (如未接聽請留言)
  • 電郵: chienmingwei@gmail.com
  • LINE: chienmingwei

我是全職加州地產經理 CA Real Estate Broker、National Board of Realtors、California Association of Realtors、以及 Silicon Valley Association of Realtors的會員。DRE#01973756

灣區房地產201509月最新數據報告

Here is the latest market analysis by Maggie Chien.  I just finished house market research about South bay, part of east bay and also Berryessa.  Time frame is from Sep 2014 to Aug 2015.  Postal City is Palo alto, Mountain View, Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Fremont, Milpitas, Berryessa.  Property Type is Residential.  Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Town house’.

一個月又過了,我為各位奉上九月初最新的市場資訊,不過八月成交狀況顯示的其實是六到七月的買氣,其中加價率可以解釋為購買力,部分區域雖然看見衰退,但是Palo alto (14.5%)、Mountian (12.6%)、Cupertino (11%)還是至少要加價一成才買的到房子,部分區域加價率稍有滑落,像是Sunnyvale從11%左右降至9%,Fremnot 小幅跌落1%降至加價率4.5%,Milpitas降至3.5%,Berryessa顯示持平狀態,加價率維持在5~6%之間。

加價率的調整,與市場需求、房價已高有很大的關係,這是最基本的經濟供需法則,市場上仍有買家相挺,但是如果有積極看屋者就知道,好房子實在不多,心裡滿意的,口袋都跟不上腳步,買得起的,都需要大力整裝一番,如果客人有實力,我乾脆建議他們買的便宜一點的爛房子,低於市價10%,把那個10%拿來裝修房屋,也可以選擇自己滿意的配備,不過當然不是每一個客人都有這種時間成本的。

以下為南灣、東灣部分地區平均在市場上的天數與加價率最新數字,僅有住宅類且不分產品,若需特殊區域、產品分析,請與我聯繫。

通常特殊市場分析,我經常用到是在出價之前,提供我的客戶該城市、該社區、或該屋近1 mile 以內類似產品的數據分析等,同學區、同性質產品近期銷售最新市況,合理出價,不是瞞天喊價。

Palo Alto Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Palo Alto Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio.

Palo Alto↑、Mountain View ↓成交天數維持低檔,6~7月加價率維持高水平,好屋難求、買盤強勁。

Mountain View Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Mountain View Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio

Sunnyvale Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Sunnyvale Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio

Sunnyvale & Cupertino 成交日期近三個月明顯拉長,↑Sunnyvale 加價率持續萎縮,Cupertino↓下圖 加價率見到彈升。

Cupertino Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Cupertino Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio

Berryessa Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Berryessa Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio

Berryessa 維持穩定,這地區因為產品好壞非常兩極,唯不少Owner occupied的房子,影響銷售天數頗大。

Milpitas Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Milpitas Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio

Fremnot & Milpitas地區成交天數維持穩定,加價率受到7/21地震影響,可能會稍微影響買氣。

Fremont Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Fremont Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio

矽谷買房子/ 租房子,哪一個划得來?Trulia的Rent vs. Buy計算器

找到了Trulia有一款很好用的工具——「Rent vs. Buy計算器」

讓使用者根據租金、買房目標價、貸款利率、稅率、打算居住多少年來分析出買房、租房怎麼樣比較划算

http://www.trulia.com/rent_vs_buy/

http://www.realtor.com 也有這項工具

http://www.realtor.com/mortgage/tools/rent-or-buy-calculator/#iid=finance:nav_menu:rent_vs_buy

大家不仿比價、比較一下

精確地計算後,就能為自己的買房計畫做出打算!

我個人跑了多年的財經新聞與房地產新聞,這項計算器沒有評估到個人家庭風險等,通常我會建議客人,若要買房貸款,一定要至少預留半年房貸準備金,對於家庭保障最完整。

Ming Wei Chien (Maggie)
Cell: 408-505-3003
Email: chienmingwei@gmail.com
BRE #01973756