疫情下的 矽谷房市概況 7

It’s all about confidence. 我有一個地產名嘴好朋友,我們常常交換心得,其中她讓我印象最深刻的一句話,就是房地產好壞,看的都是信心。


上周末、昨天、今天都有看房,明顯感受到買家信心回到市場,房市回溫,跟這天氣一樣熱熱熱,市面上剛剛上市的房子,如果開價得宜、房子沒太大問題,這幾天開始已經都能感受到multiple offers的熱度。


目前的市況,很明顯地感受到從SIP初期瞬間冷掉的房市人氣,即將遞延到今年夏天。市場上也可以看到不少三月下市的房子,重新上市就有好offer的情況。


因為SIP而關在家的時候,更讓人對於居家條件的需求再度改變。房市轉熱,買家可是要冷靜思考自己所需要的空間是什麼,不要瞎搶。


舉例來說,如果Work From Home成為趨勢,房間數多、多一個辦公室可以在家工作最好,最好還要能鎖上門,避免開會時寵物跟小人物入鏡頭 ><


在家關久了夫妻對看很討厭,多一個客廳能多一台電視也好。如果不愛看電視,多一個空間大家冷靜一下,所以有個living room可能不夠了,再來一個Family room更貼近需求。


大家都開始自己煮菜,廚房如果有中島就更好了,能盡情地把中島拿來做水餃、做麵包、擀麵,反正空間越多越好用,如果只有電爐可能不夠看,房子要有瓦斯爐對有些人來說可能突然變得很重要,如果小Condo一定要有陽台,能種種花草BBQ也是不賴。


我則是覺得我家車庫好像不夠大,很想改成大一點的健身房,也很想改造洗衣房,增加更多收納功能,因為囤貨沒地方塞,老房子也沒Pantry,其實收納空間明顯不足啊。


搶房已經開始,SIP卻還沒結束,你看的房子是真正安靜嗎? 還是現在只是車流量少?你沒注意到。 SIP還沒結束,塞車可能不是問題,如果開放上班,你能忍受住遠一點、或是公司可以讓你常常Work From Home嗎? 冷靜想想,你需要什麼樣的房子與空間。

以上是一點點最近看房的心得與大家分享。

圖片出處為最近喜歡的品牌櫃子Treku 剛剛趁打折買了他們家的電視櫃,滿意 🙂

2019年1~2月矽谷房市行情報告

三月過了一半,趁昨天剛好有個空檔看一下過去兩個月的加價率跟去化天數,2019 1月~2月的數據代表2018年底12月與2019年1月的買氣,多個城市都有反彈,更有買個房好過年的跡象。2018年5月以來,矽谷房市已經有跌幅,原因很多,股市、利率、漲多回跌、與最新的稅法都是其一。


2019房市有點回溫,加價率稍有回升、去化天數減少,但是仍不如2017/2018市況激烈,當初幾乎每一套房都是多個offer,最近市場則是要看產品了,目前要地點不差、屋況好、帶土地的房子是現在多數買方的首選。


關於未來房市走向,我們也在持續觀察中。可以預期的是今年房市要漲回2018年春天的機率應該不大,維持平盤是多數人的看法,在這樣的市場,你可以有更多選擇、可以放contingency買房,對於買家有更多交易上的保護。


Time frame is from Feb 2018 to Feb 2019 Postal City is ‘Palo Alto’Property Type is ‘Residential’Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’Results calculated from approximately 460 listings

Time frame is from Feb 2018 to Feb 2019 Postal City is 'Mountain View' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', and 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 540 listings
Time frame is from Feb 2018 to Feb 2019 Postal City is ‘Mountain View’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 540 listings
Time frame is from Feb 2018 to Feb 2019 Area Name is ’19 – Sunnyvale’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 950 listings
Time frame is from Feb 2018 to Feb 2019 Area Name is ’18 – Cupertino’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 590 listings
Time frame is from Feb 2018 to Feb 2019 Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 830 listings
Time frame is from Feb 2018 to Feb 2019 Area Name is ‘6 – Milpitas’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 590 listings
Time frame is from Feb 2018 to Feb 2019 Area Name is ‘3 – Evergreen’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 770 listings
Time frame is from Feb 2018 to Feb 2019 Area Name is ’14 – Cambrian’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 860 listings
Time frame is from Feb 2018 to Feb 2019 Area Name is one of ’13 – Almaden Valley’, ’12 – Blossom Valley’, ’11 – South San Jose’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 2,100 listings

2018年2~4月矽谷房市行情報告

這段時間房價來到史上高點,所有的數字都破了紀錄,我也忙到翻過去,加上媒體不斷報導矽谷房市點滴事跡,都在在顯示房市已經熱到頂點。

然而,隨著股市動盪、利率走揚,目前市面上的房子成交所需天數已經拉長,買房加價力道不再、所需成交天數已經拉長,市況已經能從MLS數據窺見一二,從市場買氣來觀察,房市最高點已過,接下來我們要面臨整理期了。

請仔細讀到最下文,有一個今天跑出來的最新數據。

SU

Sunnyvale ↑  Time frame is from Jun 2017 to May 2018

Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 910 listings
CU

Cupertino ↑Time frame is from Jun 2017 to May 2018

Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 580 listings
BB

Berryessa↑ Time frame is from Jun 2017 to May 2018

Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 840 listings
Campbell

 Campbell ↑ Time frame is from Jun 2017 to May 2018

Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 810 listings
SC

Santa Clara ↑ Time frame is from Jun 2017 to May 2018

Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 1,100 listings
CB

Cambrian↑ Time frame is from Jun 2017 to May 2018

Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’
Results calculated from approximately 860 listings
截至今日(6/13日) 我查看在整個 Santa Clara County 的MLS數據,過去30天內因故取消(166家)、暫時下市(63家)、或過期的Listing(21家)總共250間,其中最高價為1150萬元的Los Altos Hills豪宅到1B/1B 38.7萬元的San Jose condo都受到影響。
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過去30~60天內因故取消(127家)、暫時下市(31家)、合約到期未售出的Listing(29家)總共187間
過去60~90天內因故取消(79家)、暫時下市(21家)、合約到期未售出的Listing(29家)總共122間
過去90~120天內因故取消(62家)、暫時下市(15家)、合約到期未售出的Listing(22家)總共99間
今天利率又漲了,市場正在修正的狀況很明顯
無論市場好壞,大家總是喜歡問我:會不會繼續漲?會不會繼續跌?
我真的不是算命的,我只能盡力在買賣過程,讓你有一個安全順利的transaction。