標籤: 房仲
2016/9月 矽谷房市放完暑假 續加溫
9月自開學以來,忙碌不間斷,今天偷了個空檔,寫寫9月行情,去年有一個柯小姐寫信告訴我,我的文章對她很有幫助,前幾天成立FB粉絲頁,一個在台灣專職當地產投資家的陳先生也跟我說,我的部落格很札實,對他了解矽谷房地產很有幫助。謝謝你們的鼓勵。
前陣子李國修的女兒出嫁上了新聞版面,我一直很喜歡李國修說的一句話:「人一輩子能做好一件事,就是功德圓滿」,也不斷告誡自己盡責、盡力,除了對房地產真心感興趣,其他的,真的就是一個理念:「誠實」。
也許是新聞(房地產線)記者出身,對數據敏銳度與正確度要求很高,分析數據、讓房地產資訊輕易可讀,是我這十年來一直在做的工作。
所有部落格內容都是我從加州房地產銷售系統MLS的內部數據資料,美國房子銷售透明且公開,只要產權有所變動,銷售價格與第一次的貸款金額,都會登記在縣市政府,所有人都可以查的到,精確至門牌地址與產權持有者、貸款人姓名都是公開的,與台灣模糊的房價透明化仍有段差距。
回到正題,10月顯示的最新銷售數據,是9月的市場狀況,上個月我提到 下個月加價率肯定又回來了,驗證MLS系統公開數據,果然沒錯,主要是暑假過完,對於矽谷房市來說,又是一個新的Peak, 一直要到感恩節,房市價量才會稍有喘息,依照目前的買氣看來,下個月一定會再創新高,銷售天數縮短,加價率回升,期待下個月我的文章吧。
看一下近十年南灣房價走勢,房價來到新高點,氣勢很盛!
Time frame is from Jan 2006 to Dec 2016

Time frame is from Oct 2015 to Sep 2016




Cupertino房價已高,進一年來銷售量並不大,
但是線圖看起來沉寂一陣子的Cupertino 寶刀未老,繼續旺。

以上都是包括矽谷周邊’Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’的數據分析,若有其他數據或產品的分析等進一步需求,或是有買、賣房子的計畫,歡迎透過下列方式跟我聯繫。
- 電話 408-505-3003
- FB/電郵:chienmingwei@gmail.com
- 微訊:maggiechien002
- LINE:chienmingwei
- FB粉絲專頁:Maggie Chien-Realtor
2016年4月最新行情/漲勢確立 各自表現
按照慣例,我又來寫MLS最新資料數據分析,四月的數據反映的是三月的房市,上個月我們歷經了平均開價相較去年跳漲10%的日子 應該很多人好奇三月市場的變化
其實從Agent每天在市場打滾的體驗,下的offer數與看房人數多寡,Buyer的出價勇敢度,大概都能感受到灣區房地產的市場溫度,三月我們與同事在出價時,正常的房子offer數都在10份左右,Sunnyvale則都有15份offer,跟天氣一樣,三月房市已經比二月來的溫暖。
除了漲勢再起,成交日也變短。市場如此,Buyer的加價實力不夠可是買不到房子,這幾個月尤其以Sunnyvale & Berryessa 市場更為火熱,買方加價力道十足,不分產品平均加價率漲至今年高點,成交數明顯稅減以下從MLS統計就能看出,就能房價已經高不可攀的Cupertino還是能看到成交天數縮短,加價率在攀升。West San Jose也是差不多的市況,但是我抓的數據只有顯示Single family(沒為什麼,獨厚我的客戶而已,他正在找這裡的House) 請大家見諒 ^^
再次聲明,每個區域、每個Zip Code都有好區跟差一點點的區域,學區、街廓、鄰居素質、是否靠近高速公路、鐵道或重大建設,都與房價息息相關,每間房子在每個人的心中顯示的價值都不一樣,每一個Agent出價之前都應該給客人近期成交數據分析,評估市場與客戶承擔能力,才進行出價。
若有問題歡迎來電、來信討論
Apr 2015 to Mar 2016 Sunnyvale




讓我們一起為你的房子寫故事
The API: 10 things parents should know
前兩天一個Cupertino 搬走的媽媽語重心長地告訴我
「我要是重新再選擇一次,我不會讓我孩子去念Monta Vista ,Pidmont High也很好啊,我兒子在MV只是前20%,他沒有高中生活,一直在念書,如果到競爭少一點點的學校,他會不會比較快樂我無法確定,但是他排名一定會很前面,史丹佛只要全校的第一名,在名校的孩子,實在很可憐...」
API分數常常是有孩子的家庭購買房子的參考指標,去年10月開始,Redfin重新調整學區分數,許多API落後的學校,突然變成9分10分,不管如何,API分數真的是百分之百的指標嗎? 你的孩子一定要爭破頭搶好學校嗎?
這裡有篇來自greatschools.org的文章,提供大家參考,讓你對所謂的API 分數有進一步的了解
1. The API is not a test.
Rather, the API is a school performance measurement system that was first developed as part of California’s 1999 Public Schools Accountability Act. Each year, the state calculates the Base API for each school to establish a baseline for the school’s academic performance, and it sets an annual target for growth. Each summer, the state announces the Growth API for each school, which reflects growth in the API from year to year.
The 2011 Base API, released in May 2012, is calculated using each school’s test results from the California Standards Tests (CSTs — state tests designed to see how students are learning state standards), the California Modified Assessment (CMA), the California Alternate Performance Assessment (CAPA) and the California High School Exit Examination (CAHSEE).
The 2012 Growth API, which will be released in September 2012, shows the school’s academic growth for the year. It is calculated in the same way as the 2011 Base API.
2. The API measures both school performance and improvement.
The API can be used to see how well a school did on tests in any given year, as well as to track school progress over time. Each year, parents can review a school’s API number, which shows how well it did relative to the state’s goal of 800, and also check the school’s growth from the previous year. To make it an accurate measure of school improvement, the Base API calculation only includes test results of students who were in the district during the previous school year. The Growth API is calculated using results of students from the current school year.
3. The API has very high stakes.
Due to the spotlight on API results from newspapers and the state, schools are under tremendous pressure to increase test scores and improve their APIs. While some argue that this pressure encourages schools to improve classroom instruction, others are afraid that schools will shortchange rich curricular programs in favor of test preparation drills.
4. The API measures academic performance, not school quality.
As a parent, you may have heard people say things like, “The school has an API of 750, so it must be a great school,” or “The API is only 550? What’s wrong with this school?” While these simple assessments are tempting, be careful about jumping to conclusions based on a school’s API alone. Before making any overall judgments about a school’s quality, be sure to look at its API improvement as well as other key factors, including teacher experience, parent involvement and special programs.
5. The API focuses on achievement for all students.
The API is designed to show how well schools are serving students across all ethnic and socioeconomic groups. For this reason, separate APIs are calculated for each of a school’s statistically significant subgroups, which include any ethnic groups that account for a significant percentage of the school’s population. If “numerically significant,” APIs are also calculated for a school’s socioeconomically disadvantaged students (students who qualify for the subsidized lunch program or who don’t have a parent with a high school degree), English learners, and students with disabilities.
6. Schools that don’t improve their APIs must get help.
If a school doesn’t meet its API growth target and has one of the lower Base APIs in the state, it may receive grants and special assistance to help with improvement efforts. If a school continues to fall short of its target, it may eventually be subject to strong local or state sanctions, including reassigning the principal (subject to a public hearing), reorganization or even school closure.
7. API results are for schools and districts only.
There is no such thing as an individual student API. The API is based on scores from the CSTs, the CMA, the CAPA and the CAHSEE. The API measures how a school’s or district’s academic performance improves from year to year.
8. The API has changed.
It used to include just the results of the norm-referenced tests — in the first years, the Stanford 9 tests and later the CAT/6. These tests compared California students to their peers nationwide. In recent years the emphasis has shifted to include more results from the CSTs, which more accurately reflect what California students are expected to learn in the classroom, and fewer results from the CAT/6. In early 2009, the CAT/6 Survey was eliminated entirely as a testing tool in the state.
In 2001-2002, CSTs in English language arts (for grades 2 through 11) were added to API calculations. Scores from CSTs in math (for grades 2 through 11), social science (for grades 10 and 11), and the CAHSEE were added in 2002-2003 to provide a more accurate picture of what students have learned. In 2003-2004, CST science tests in grades 9 through 11 and the CAPA in language and math in grades 2 through 11 were added. Since 2004-2005 even more indicators have been added. The API now includes the CST in science for grades 5 and 8 through 11 and in history-social science for grades 8 through 11. In 2008, the California Modified Assessment (CMA) was added to the API for grades 3 through 5. Grades 6 through 8 of the CMA were added in 2010.
9. The API is complicated.
If the whole topic of the API confuses you, you’re not alone. Educators and parents alike struggle to understand where the API comes from, how it’s calculated and what exactly it means. Here’s the bottom line: APIs range from 200 to 1000 and the goal for all schools is 800. The API is based on test scores and is calculated in a way that encourages schools to raise the test scores of the lowest-scoring students.
10. GreatSchools Ratings and the California API are different.
GreatSchools also calculates a rating on a scale of 1 to 10 based on California test results. There are several important differences between GreatSchools Ratings and California API Ranks:
- API Ranks are created by the California Department of Education. GreatSchools Ratings are created by GreatSchools.
- The API is calculated using results from the CSTs, CMA, CAHSEE, and the CAPA. GreatSchools Ratings are calculated using the CSTs only. For additional information on GreatSchools Ratings, check our frequently asked questions.
- Some test subjects count more than others in the API.
- The API includes all 5 levels of proficiency (far below basic, below basic, basic, proficient or advanced), each receiving a different number of points toward the total API. The API is calculated this way to encourage improvement in test scores. GreatSchools Ratings use only the percent of students who scored at the proficient and advanced levels. GreatSchools Ratings show how the percentage of students on grade level at a school compared to schools across the state.
My Listing!! 1089 Tekman Dr SAN JOSE, CA 95122
這是我本周上市的一個Listing,
地點很好,就在Tully Road旁,開車三分鐘就可以上101,算是鬧中取靜的好區。
這個Condo距離Kelley Park/Japanese Friendship Garden日本公園, Sharks Ice, and San Jose Giants Stadium. 開車到獅子城 Lion Supermarket, Grand Century Shopping Center and小西貢 Walmart都在六分鐘左右.
這間房子不像其他1B1B,還有一個餐廳的位置跟小陽台。歡迎來參觀!This home offers a quiet and serene lifestyle. Excellent for first time homeowner or investor. Open-house this weekend, on December 12th/13th, 19th/20th from 1:30-4:30 PM.
Call me if you have any questions!
https://www.redfin.com/CA/San-Jose/1089-Tekman-Dr-95122/home/1616380
We welcome other sellers!
We make all the necessary research to sell your home at the right price!!!
- We order all the required documents for you to sell your home*.
- We prepare all the Seller’s disclosures for you to sign.
- We design and print color flyer at no extra cost to you.
- We pay to advertise open house for your property on major local newspaper or websites or to order virtual tour per your request.
- We open house for you every weekend until it sells.
- We can help your buyer obtain mortgage and get your home to be sold smoothly.
- We review all offers with you together and negotiate to get the possible best deal.
- We go through the entire escrow period; help you avoid problems.
- We coordinate for you with all transaction-related professionals and inspectors.
- We make sure all legal documents signed by both you and Buyer.
- We follow through the escrow until it’s closing.
- We will reimburse house cleaning & yard clean up cost after closing.
*Inspections performed by qualified inspectors will be charged on seller.
**We urge you to list your home on MLS for more prospective buyers/agents seeing your property. Usually 2.5% or 3% of sales price pays buyer’s agent.
舊金山灣區 南灣 房地產 201511月最新數據報告
淡季不淡,市況「蠢蠢欲動」
12月已經7日,忙到現在才有空檔寫寫最新的買氣報告。奇怪,不是淡季嗎?可是我還是好忙呀!
沒錯,是淡了一點,冬季買氣絕對不如夏季炙熱,但是市場依然溫暖,昨天(12/6)在South San Jose 幫同事Open House,來了17組共40人,套一句同事說的話,大家已經「蠢蠢欲動。」
前幾天參加一個美國華人經紀人的晚宴,Green Valley Realty受邀參加,我也很榮幸地參與其中,老闆與公司業績前幾名的同事不約而同地認為:「過了感恩節,大家都以為12月是淡季,準備過聖誕節並迎接新年,沒想到升息疑慮未減,房市依然蠢蠢欲動。」雖然11月釋出量少,導致成交量縮,但是數字會說話,好區的成交行情依然不為所動,繼續穩定維持小小的漲幅。
來看看11月的成交市況吧!(2015年11月MLS資料庫,反映2015年10月買氣)
先來看看南灣的綜合買氣,下列數據包括San Jose, Santa Clara, Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Saratoga, Los Gatos。再往下細看各地區分析。

Nov 2015平均加價率102.7 % 銷售天數達31
以下為主要City的成交市況
這是Sunnyvale只看 House的狀況

Sunnyvale House Nov 2015加價率 105.6%但是平均成交天數為13天,跟今年6月賣的一樣快。勝過於7月~10月需要15~19天才能賣掉。

Cupertino 的House 11月平均加價率為103.9%,平均成交天數增加至33天,大家注意一下11月的加價率從10月後到底又微幅上升,市場果真是買盤還在,「跌不下去」,繼~續~漲!

Santa Clara受惠於Sunnyvale & Cupertino 擴散效應影響,今年漲得很多,是矽谷地區百萬元還能買到好房子的地方,雖然沒有太多好學區,不過地點優勢,最近也是很多年輕人的新寵。平均加價率維持104.5%,成交天數也不離譜,24天還算是中間值。

Berryessa很好玩,買氣很穩定,大概都是20餘天成交,特別的是又看到除了Cupertino之外加價率回升的一區。
你想找房子嗎?
對其他區域有興趣嗎
歡迎利用以下方式與我聯繫
- FB/電郵:chienmingwei@gmail.com
- 微訊:maggiechien002
- LINE:chienmingwei
2015年6 月,矽谷Sunnyvale房價再創新高
六月已經結束,我將Sunnyvale 行情整理一番。
數據全數來自MLS統計資料,我在這裡僅做Single Family的分析供參考,若須Condo, Townhouse資料,請找我洽詢,無論何種產品,我都將提供完整的數據分析,加價技巧,助您買房。
Sunnyvale House行情均價 $1,468,772 . 成交價格1.47million,成交量較前三個月縮減。平均成交天數13天。
成交量持續萎縮,但是買房出價動能依然強,
尤其在94087因為不少 Cupertino Union 與Cherry Chase好學區,加價幅度不減。
Sale price to list price ratio is 117.3% in Jun.

Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’
Results calculated from approximately 630 listings
(點圖可以放大)
94087 (Sunnyvale, 因為有Homestead high, Cupertino好學區支撐,加價比率較高,民眾搶屋很積極)
”Sale price to list price ratio” is 117.3% in Jun, lower than 118.1% in May, higher than 116.3% in Apr. Compare to 120.5~121.8% during Feb and Mar. Buyers don’t add as much money as 1st quarter.
”Day to sell” in Jun of single family in 94087, only takes 10 average days to sell. Compare to 9 days in Feb and Mar, 11 days in Apr. The ‘’Day to sell’’ in Jun means the market is still hot.
94086
”Sale price to list price ratio” is 109.7% in Jun, lower than 116.1% in May, 116.2% in Apr. . Compare to about 111%,114% in Feb and Mar. Buyers don’t add as much money as 1st quarter.
”Day to sell” in Jun of single family in 94086, only takes 10 average days to sell. Compare to 21 and 11 days in Feb and Mar, 14 days in Apr. The ‘’Day to sell’’ in Jun means the market is still hot.

Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale’
Property Type is ‘Residential’
Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’
Results calculated from approximately 3,300 listings
這是近五年Sunnyvale價量,紅色為價、綠色為量,僅做Single Family的統計表。2015年僅統計到6月,因此量約一半,但是我大膽預估,因為高房價(買房躊躇)與周邊房價直漲(賣方賣了不知道該往哪裡住),今年成交量應會減縮,總成交量將低於過去四年的平均值。稍晚再來寫兵家必爭之地Cupertino!
2014年3月~2015年3月 中國人首次成為美房市最大海外買家
(大紀元記者李默迪綜合報導)美國房地產經紀人協會(National Association of Realtors)最新統計數據顯示,購買美國房產的國際客戶中,中國人首超加拿大人,購買量和消費額方面都是美國房市最大的海外買家。
據《華爾街日報》報導,調查涵蓋從2014年3月到2015年3月的時間範圍。所有在美國購買獨立房和公寓的國際客戶中,中國人佔16%,數量最多,而且比2013年的12%又有所增加。其次是加拿大和印度客戶,分別佔14%和8%。
從房產消費額來看,同期內國際客戶在美國的房產消費總額為922億美元,其中中國客戶為286億美元,同樣位居榜首,而且比2013年增加了30%。加拿大和印度分別為112億和79億美元。
《金融時報》報導,同期內,中國人在美國的人均房產消費額為196萬美元,比美國本土人多三倍。
中國客戶平均每套房產消費也是最高,為83.18萬美元,高於國際客戶的平均值(49.96萬美元),其次為加拿大、印度、墨西哥和英國,但他們都低於國際客戶平均值。
中國人喜歡海外購房 原因何在
中國房地產專家艾敬偉(Ai Jingwei,音譯)說,實際上中國人在國內的購房空間很有限,美國經濟和房市復甦後,中國人開始轉向美國購房。
Juwai.com是一個幫助中國客戶購買海外房產的網站,其聯合首席執行官安德魯•泰勒(Andrew Taylor)表示,美國現存房產和在建房都比較有潛力,而且國際客戶的購房政策很自由,所以成為中國買家海外購房的首選。
根據Juwai.com網站對客戶的調查結果,2015年第一季度,中國客戶在美國購房較多的地區是洛杉磯、紐約市、休斯頓、舊金山,以及奧蘭多。
比較各州的情況看,中國人在加州購房最多,佔他們總購房量的30%,其次是華盛頓、紐約、馬塞諸塞州、伊利諾斯州和德州。
中國客戶70%用現金支付房款,高於美國國際客戶的平均值(55%),而美國本土人士的現金支付率只有25%。
《金融時報》文章還提到,其實,從世界範圍來看,中國人也是西方各個大都市最大的房產買家,比如紐約、倫敦、悉尼、溫哥華、多倫多和奧克蘭等。
中國人大量湧入海外購房,主要是由於中國房產市場低迷,以及西方民主國家優質的教育體系和生活品質、完善的法律,以及買房後所享有的房產權。
但是業內人士認為,海外客戶,特別是中國人,對美國房市的需求的增加,會給美國本土人士帶來一定的負面影響。
MoneyWatch 專欄作家、在房產界有40年從業經歷的丹•巴納比克(Dan Barnabic)表示,美國大都市房產的這種高需求會導致房價不斷攀升,尤其是對美國中產階層人士來說,會超出他們的承受能力,進而使他們無力支付房產。現在一些城市正有這種趨勢,比如舊金山、紐約、丹佛、西雅圖等。
Ming Wei Chien (Maggie)
Cell: 408-505-3003
Email: chienmingwei@gmail.com
BRE #01973756
Green Valley Realty
Office: 408-512-5712 / Fax: 408-512-5717
19620 Stevens Creek Blvd. Ste 280
Cupertino, CA 95014