Thirty-two percent of California households could afford to
purchase the $545,820 median-priced home in the first quarter of 2019, up from
28 percent in fourth-quarter 2018 and up from 31 percent a year ago.
More Californians could afford to purchase a home in the
first quarter of 2019 as lower mortgage interest rates and cooler seasonal home
prices combined with higher income levels to improve California housing
affordability, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.
The percentage of home buyers who could afford to purchase a
median-priced, existing single-family home in California in first-quarter 2019
rose to 32 percent from 28 percent in the fourth quarter of 2018 and from 31
percent in the first quarter a year ago, according to C.A.R.’s Traditional
Housing Affordability Index (HAI). The index climbed above 30 percent for the
first time in a year. California’s housing affordability index hit a peak of 56
percent in the first quarter of 2012.
C.A.R.’s HAI measures the percentage of all households that
can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California.
C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties
within the state. The index is considered the most fundamental measure of
housing well-being for home buyers in the state.
A minimum annual income of $114,860 was needed to qualify
for the purchase of a $545,820 statewide median-priced, existing single-family
home in the first quarter of 2019. The monthly payment, including taxes and
insurance on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan, would be $2,870, assuming a 20 percent
down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 4.62 percent. The
effective composite interest rate was 4.95 percent in fourth-quarter 2018 and
4.44 percent in first-quarter 2018.
Housing affordability for condominiums and townhomes also improved in first-quarter 2019 compared to the previous quarter, with 41 percent of California households earning the minimum income to qualify for the purchase of a $450,000 median-priced condominium/townhome, up from 37 percent in the previous quarter. An annual income of $94,690 was required to make monthly payments of $2,370. Thirty-nine percent of households could afford to buy a condominium/townhome a year ago.
Compared with California, more than half of the nation’s
households (57 percent) could afford to purchase a $254,800 median-priced home,
which required a minimum annual income of $53,620 to make monthly payments of
Key points from the first-quarter 2019 Housing Affordability
Housing affordability improved from first-quarter 2018 in 28
tracked counties and declined in 16 counties. Affordability in four counties
In the San Francisco Bay Area, affordability improved from a
year ago in every county. San Francisco County was the least affordable, with
just 17 percent of households able to purchase the $1,532,500 median-priced
home. Forty-six percent of Solano County households
could afford the $430,500 median-priced home, making it the most affordable Bay
Affordability results in the Southern California region were
mixed as only Orange and San Diego counties recorded an improvement from a year
ago, while San Bernardino and Ventura counties experienced a decline. Affordability
was unchanged in Los Angeles and Riverside counties.
In the Central Valley region, affordability held even from a
year ago only in two counties — Fresno and Sacramento — and fell in three
counties — Kern, San Benito and Stanislaus. Kings, Madera, Merced, Placer, San
Joaquin and Tulare counties recorded improvements.
Housing affordability improved in all four counties in the
Central Coast region, which includes Monterey, San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara
and Santa Cruz counties.
During the first quarter of 2019, the most affordable
counties in California were Lassen (63 percent), Kings (57 percent) and
Siskiyou (53 percent). The minimum annual income needed to qualify for a home
in these counties was $47,340 or less.
Mono (10 percent), San Francisco (17 percent), Santa Cruz (17 percent) and San Mateo (18 percent) counties were the least affordable areas in the state. San Francisco and San Mateo counties required the highest minimum qualifying incomes in the state. An annual income of $322,480 was needed to purchase a home in San Francisco County, and an annual income of $323,010 was required in San Mateo County.