目前的市況因為房屋選擇變多,買家回歸理性,大致可以分為三種情形。第一、屋況條件好、地點好,依然深受歡迎,價格修正不到5%。第二、地點好、屋況普通的房子,買家評估只要能簡易修繕,價差能接受,多半也都會成交,價格修正約10%。第三、屋況不好、地點不夠好的房子則常常有買家棄標,必須back on the market 或甚至下市不賣了,價格修正率多達20%。
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綜觀去年南灣交易量,本文數據均以2019年1月2日 MLS統計數據為準
2018年南灣:San Jose, Milpitas, Santa Clara(不包括Alviso), Campbell, Los Gatos, Saratoga, Cupertino, Sunnyvale 所有 Listing 數量為14119間,銷售了10847間。
比較2017年同期(2018年1月2日 MLS統計數據)
2017年南灣:San Jose, Milpitas, Santa Clara(不包括Alviso), Campbell, Los Gatos, Saratoga, Cupertino, Sunnyvale 所有 Listing 數量為12657間,銷售了11898間。
此外,從我在MLS很常擷取下來使用的 Average DOM & Sale to list price Ration也能明顯的看出加價率減低、成交天數增加,顯示市場熱度不再瘋狂,買家回歸理性。先來看看我最熟悉的Sunnyvale,平均加價率幾乎是0%
Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 920 listings以上這一篇是以Sunnyvale為例,南灣其他城市也都是類似的走向
Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Postal City is ‘Santa Clara‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 890 listings
Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Area Name is ‘6 – Milpitas‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 500 listings
Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Postal City is ‘Campbell‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 420 listings
Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Area Name is ’18 – Cupertino‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 550 listings
Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 730 listings
Time frame is from Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 Postal City is ‘Palo Alto‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, and ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 440 listings以上數據能看出市況走向,但是每一個社區、每一個學區的成交價都與位置地點有別而有極大差異,如果要下offer,還是要做好精準的comparable.
我是專職加州地產經紀人 CA Real Estate Realtor/Broker、National Board of Realtors、California Association of Realtors、以及 Silicon Valley Association of Realtors的會員。DRE#01973756
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