2017 1~2月矽谷房市行情報告

今天是驚蟄,灣區不打春雷,而是下了冰雹,跟房地產最近的市場一樣猛烈。

發表一下MLS 1~2月的銷售數據,1~2月的數據代表著去年底與今年1月的買氣,過了一個年,市場的腳步已經站穩,價格繼續挑戰新高,今年的買氣跟去年 (2016年3月我的文章) 買氣相比有增無減,矽谷房市已經熱到頂點,價格繼續前進,銷售量則因為淡季,維持著平均水平。市場上嚴重的問題是房源少、需求高,希望未來的兩個月,會有更多可售房屋釋出,平緩一下漲不停的房價。

其實,在去年總統大選選完一個月,我們就嗅到了市場蠢蠢欲動的氣氛,原本觀望的群眾紛紛跨入買房行列,在下offer的時候,更是能感受到市場的溫度,Mountain View, Sunnyvale, Santa Clara的offer數都在10份以上,近20份則是時有所聞,MV不加個20萬買不到、Sunnyvale Single Family好學區則是15%以上加價率才有counter offer的機會,如果是策略性開低價吸引買方目光的房源,時不時有超過30份offer甚至1月時,Santa Clara出現了55份offer的紀錄。

不僅中古屋需要激烈競標,連新房都是讓人等地苦哈哈,新房案源其實不少,只是想買的人更多,因此Mountain View就有建商的新房採取標售方式銷售。

若是新房案源,以往多數採用先建後售,或至少是半成屋之後開始選擇細部建材與設備,可以作半客製化的建築,且是固定價格銷售。這個新建社區則是連Model home都沒蓋,就開始接受排隊銷售,而且銷售方式是「投標」,而非採固定價格銷售。

截至3/5日為止,該案銷售經理就告訴我,上次release 12間,一共收到160份offer,平均加價9萬美金。 價格相對低的Town house平均加價10萬美金,Single family 平均加7萬美金,下一次的release預計在3/18日,到時候再看看會多瘋狂。

我們來看看MLS 1~2月的成交數據吧,請仔細參考數據圖片下方的圖說,有針對區域、產品別的說明。

第一張是南灣近10年平均銷售價格,區域有Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Santa Clara, Berryessa, Campbell, Milpitas

Time frame is from Jan 2007 to Dec 2017 Area Name is one of '5 - Berryessa', '15 - Campbell', '18 - Cupertino', '6 - Milpitas', '8 - Santa Clara', '19 - Sunnyvale' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from 46,971 listings
Time frame is from Jan 2007 to Dec 2017 Area Name is one of ‘5 – Berryessa’, ’15 – Campbell’, ’18 – Cupertino’, ‘6 – Milpitas’, ‘8 – Santa Clara’, ’19 – Sunnyvale’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from 46,971 listings

接下來是各大城市平均加價率與平均銷售成交日,

我有把某些城市的Single Family 數據獨立出來,以供參考。

Sunnyvale

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Sunnyvale' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 580 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 580 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Sunnyvale' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 890 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Sunnyvale’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 890 listings

Cupertino

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Cupertino' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 350 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Cupertino’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 350 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Cupertino' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 250 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Cupertino’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 250 listings

Santa Clara

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Santa Clara' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 870 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 870 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Santa Clara' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 520 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Santa Clara’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 520 listings

Mountain View

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Mountain View' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 560 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Mountain View’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 560 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is 'Mountain View' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 240 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Postal City is ‘Mountain View’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 240 listings

Berryessa

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '5 - Berryessa' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 820 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 820 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '5 - Berryessa' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 490 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ‘5 – Berryessa‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 490 listings

Campbell

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '15 - Campbell' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is one of 'Single Family Home', 'Condominium', 'Townhouse' Results calculated from approximately 860 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ’15 – Campbell‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Townhouse’ Results calculated from approximately 860 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '15 - Campbell' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 570 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ’15 – Campbell‘ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 570 listings

以上是包括矽谷周邊的房市數據分析,若有其他數據或產品的分析等進一步需求,或是有買、賣房子的計畫,歡迎透過下列方式跟我聯繫。

  • 電話 408-505-3003 Maggie
  • FB/電郵:chienmingwei@gmail.com
  • 微訊:maggiechien002
  • LINE:chienmingwei
  • FB粉絲專頁:Maggie Chien-Realtor

3/7/2017 Updated! 補上 Evergreen, Blossom Valley, Almaden Valley House的平均成交天數與加價率

Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '3 - Evergreen' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 550 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ‘3 – Evergreen’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 550 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '12 - Blossom Valley' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 670 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ’12 – Blossom Valley’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 670 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is '13 - Almaden Valley' Property Type is 'Residential' Property Sub Type is 'Single Family Home' Results calculated from approximately 360 listings
Time frame is from Mar 2016 to Feb 2017 Area Name is ’13 – Almaden Valley’ Property Type is ‘Residential’ Property Sub Type is ‘Single Family Home’ Results calculated from approximately 360 listings

作者: Ming Wei (Maggie) Chien 簡明葳

Maggie曾在台灣當過九年的財經記者,在加州2015年開始取得Realtor執照、2019年取得Broker執照,是舊金山灣區矽谷一帶的全職房地產經紀,職業生涯邁入第九年,交易過150+間房,成交金額超過2億美金,目前管理20幾個單位。

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