2016年6月,矽谷房價沒有跌!

2016年已經過了一半,先來回顧我這一年寫的行情分析

上個月大半個月的時間都留在 Portland, 因為家人在那裏,我們去度了一段長假,而我不小心在做園藝工作時後手受了傷,縫了好幾針,因此,六月行情快要跟七月行情重疊寫,實在是抱歉啊!

矽谷房市怎麼樣呢?先看看經濟面吧,股市多空交戰近半年,看來空方被剪了毛,多方還在撐,究竟鹿死誰手,看來還在拉鋸。看回房市,有人說:「矽谷的生活在一個彩色大泡泡裡,對於外界是一無所知的!」 這句話部分真實,矽谷人薪水高、消費高、房價高,到處看得到名車、名牌,還有那很貴的房子總是搶來搶去,非要開春搶完之後,直到七月份房地產才會稍稍喘息。(點這裡看去年七月行情)

今年的走勢跟去年很像,一進入開春,加價率跳空漲幅可以達到8~10%,買氣消化完畢,漲勢築底後,六、七月會見到房價停滯,加價率開始下跌(但是並非房價下跌),看房量變少,庫存稍稍變多,部分賣家會在銷售價上調降一些,這些都是這幾年在矽谷很正常的現象

特此說明,加價率下跌並非房價下跌,若要談到房價下跌,也必須要先找出基期,現在看起來,房價還在至高點上,行情形成一個高原線。

每年到了這些時候,買家就會開始猶豫,「房價會不會跌?」「Maggie, 我聽說要跌了!」眾說紛紜的意見跟股市多空交戰的現象很像。

我的責任是幫助客人買到好房子 (歡迎參考 客人給我的評價) 而非幫你預測房價,我想能100%預測漲跌幅的,則應該只有神了。

來看我抓的資料吧!這是MLS系統分區的 加價走勢跟平均銷售天數 (房子需要放多久賣掉)吧!

平均銷售天數都稍微拉長,加價率則是降低!

SU

Sunnyvale

 

Berryessa

Berryessa

CU.png

Cupertino

'4 - Alum Rock', '15 - Campbell', '9 - Central San Jose', '3 - Evergreen', '11 - South San Jose', '10 - Willow Glen'.png

這張抓得範圍廣有Alum Rock, Campbell, Central San Jose, Evergreen, South San Jose, Willow Glen

 

Santa CLara

Santa Clara

 

 

 

 

 

 

Author: Maggie Chien 簡明葳

我的中文名字是簡明葳,大家都叫我Maggie,現在在美國矽谷/硅谷(Silicon Valley)擔任房產經紀人 Broker DRE#01973756 。 我曾在台灣當過九年的財經記者,蘋果日報房地產中心(地產王&家居王)、自由時報財經中心房產線總資歷長達七年。我在台灣採訪過數千間建案,在矽谷看房歷年破千間以上,這幾年的矽谷房地產經紀人經驗,建立了我完整的買房資歷與經驗。 在矽谷買房子,是一個充滿挑戰的過程。我能提供試算服務、貸款諮詢與轉介、為你挑選適合妳需求的房子、一同看屋,與你一起挑戰競標的過程。我們將逐條念過合約內容,下標之前我會誠實地揭示屋況、屋主詳細情形、報告,而後續的交屋、租屋、修繕、改建等諮詢都在服務範圍之內。 關於賣房,房價評估、市場分析、修繕建議、上市時間建議、Staging評估、風格挑選、行銷方式分析、海報、Post、媒體推廣、行銷媒體選擇、挑選offer輔助,後續交屋,都是我擔任賣房經紀人時的職責。 我是 National Board of Realtors、California Association of Realtors、以及 Silicon Valley Association of Realtors的會員。 I am a California realtor/broker associate in the Silicon Valley, currently working with Keller Williams Realty. I have always had a passion for Real Estate. As an Editor/Journalist in Taiwan, I had written hundreds of news articles covering Real Estate and Interior Design. After moving to the SF Bay Area in 2014, I followed my passion and embarked on a successful career as a Real Estate agent/broker. For my buying clients, I understand home ownership is a big part of the American Dream and I will help you to achieve this goal with logic and data: - Find/compare/verify the house of your need - Review all property inspection reports, seller disclosures, permit history, HOA docs, etc. with you - Explain all contractual documents to help you make the strongest offer with confidence - Share a buyer's only checklist with you prior to making an offer For my selling clients, I understand it can be a very stressful process determining when to sell, how to price and market the house. I will greatly reduce your burden by: - Thorough analysis on market condition, timing and price - Prepare all documents and escrow account - Touch up/renovate the house with my team of contractors - Showcase the house with professional staging - Advertise and conduct open house - Review and select the strongest offer with confidence Check my review and give me a call for a free consultation today.

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