U.S. consumer confidence steady; new home sales near eight-and-a-half-year high

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – U.S. consumer confidence held steady in July and new single-family home sales hit their highest level in nearly 8-1/2 years in June, suggesting sustained momentum in the economy.

Other data on Tuesday showed moderate gains in house prices in May, which should support consumer spending and keep home purchasing affordable, especially for first-time buyers who have started venturing into the housing market.

The Conference Board said its consumer index was 97.3 this month after a reading of 97.4 in June. The largely unchanged data followed Britain’s stunning vote last month to leave the European Union, which rattled global financial markets and led to a dip in other sentiment measures.

A recent rally on Wall Street, strengthening U.S. labor market and lower gasoline prices are supporting consumer confidence, helping to underpin economic activity.

Prices for long-dated U.S. Treasuries fell after the data, while the dollar rose against the euro. U.S. stocks were trading slightly higher.

In a separate report the Commerce Department said new home sales increased 3.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 592,000 units last month, the highest level since February 2008. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast new home sales, which account for about 9.6 percent of the housing market, rising to a rate of 560,000 units last month.

Sales were up 25.4 percent from a year ago. Last month’s increase left new home sales in the second quarter well above their average for the first three months of the year.

The housing market is gaining speed with a report last week showing home resales vaulted to near a 9-1/2-year high in June. At the same time, single-family housing starts increased solidly in June.

The housing market, which is being buoyed by tightening labor market conditions and mortgage rates near record lows, is helping to power the economy. New home sales are likely benefiting from a persistent shortage of previously owned houses available for sale.

New single-family homes sales jumped 10.4 percent in the Midwest and soared 10.9 percent in the West, which has seen a sharp increase in home prices amid tight inventories. But sales fell 5.6 percent in the Northeast and slipped 0.3 percent in the populous South.

Last month, the inventory of new homes on the market increased 1.2 percent to 244,000 units. At June’s sales pace it would take 4.9 months to clear the supply of houses on the market, down from 5.1 months in May.

A third report on Tuesday showed the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller composite index of 20 metropolitan areas rose 5.2 percent in May on a year-over-year basis. Prices rose 5.4 percent in April.

Prices in the 20 cities fell 0.1 percent in May from April on a seasonally adjusted basis. They increased 0.9 percent from April on an unadjusted basis.

2016年6月,矽谷房價沒有跌!

2016年已經過了一半,先來回顧我這一年寫的行情分析

上個月大半個月的時間都留在 Portland, 因為家人在那裏,我們去度了一段長假,而我不小心在做園藝工作時後手受了傷,縫了好幾針,因此,六月行情快要跟七月行情重疊寫,實在是抱歉啊!

矽谷房市怎麼樣呢?先看看經濟面吧,股市多空交戰近半年,看來空方被剪了毛,多方還在撐,究竟鹿死誰手,看來還在拉鋸。看回房市,有人說:「矽谷的生活在一個彩色大泡泡裡,對於外界是一無所知的!」 這句話部分真實,矽谷人薪水高、消費高、房價高,到處看得到名車、名牌,還有那很貴的房子總是搶來搶去,非要開春搶完之後,直到七月份房地產才會稍稍喘息。(點這裡看去年七月行情)

今年的走勢跟去年很像,一進入開春,加價率跳空漲幅可以達到8~10%,買氣消化完畢,漲勢築底後,六、七月會見到房價停滯,加價率開始下跌(但是並非房價下跌),看房量變少,庫存稍稍變多,部分賣家會在銷售價上調降一些,這些都是這幾年在矽谷很正常的現象

特此說明,加價率下跌並非房價下跌,若要談到房價下跌,也必須要先找出基期,現在看起來,房價還在至高點上,行情形成一個高原線。

每年到了這些時候,買家就會開始猶豫,「房價會不會跌?」「Maggie, 我聽說要跌了!」眾說紛紜的意見跟股市多空交戰的現象很像。

我的責任是幫助客人買到好房子 (歡迎參考 客人給我的評價) 而非幫你預測房價,我想能100%預測漲跌幅的,則應該只有神了。

來看我抓的資料吧!這是MLS系統分區的 加價走勢跟平均銷售天數 (房子需要放多久賣掉)吧!

平均銷售天數都稍微拉長,加價率則是降低!

SU

Sunnyvale

 

Berryessa

Berryessa

CU.png

Cupertino

'4 - Alum Rock', '15 - Campbell', '9 - Central San Jose', '3 - Evergreen', '11 - South San Jose', '10 - Willow Glen'.png

這張抓得範圍廣有Alum Rock, Campbell, Central San Jose, Evergreen, South San Jose, Willow Glen

 

Santa CLara

Santa Clara

 

 

 

 

 

 

專文推薦修車廠 板金廠 換輪胎店

在美國,很多人會修車DIY,因為我先生本身是車子愛好者,更喜歡到處去賽車

但是也常常有他能力不及的時候,因為愛車,所以用過也慎選很多修車店家

生活在矽谷,我們修車其中我們最信賴的就是 Hui 先生的 Cordial Auto Center ,有什麼問題都先打給他,舉凡換油、引擎問題等等(他會講中文喔)

如果是板金、烤漆、外觀修復則是 B2 Perfection Auto Body (之前車禍大修車,就是B2搞定)

換輪胎則是在網路上訂購輪胎,把輪胎寄到Big Wheels(找Brian or Steven),或是寄到家再載到Big Wheels更換,價格合理也很專業。




以上,我沒有業績,純粹方便網友,請自行參考Yelp連結並打電話諮詢,有問題問老闆不要問我喔!