灣區房地產201509月最新數據報告

Here is the latest market analysis by Maggie Chien.  I just finished house market research about South bay, part of east bay and also Berryessa.  Time frame is from Sep 2014 to Aug 2015.  Postal City is Palo alto, Mountain View, Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Fremont, Milpitas, Berryessa.  Property Type is Residential.  Property Sub Type is one of ‘Single Family Home’, ‘Condominium’, ‘Town house’.

一個月又過了,我為各位奉上九月初最新的市場資訊,不過八月成交狀況顯示的其實是六到七月的買氣,其中加價率可以解釋為購買力,部分區域雖然看見衰退,但是Palo alto (14.5%)、Mountian (12.6%)、Cupertino (11%)還是至少要加價一成才買的到房子,部分區域加價率稍有滑落,像是Sunnyvale從11%左右降至9%,Fremnot 小幅跌落1%降至加價率4.5%,Milpitas降至3.5%,Berryessa顯示持平狀態,加價率維持在5~6%之間。

加價率的調整,與市場需求、房價已高有很大的關係,這是最基本的經濟供需法則,市場上仍有買家相挺,但是如果有積極看屋者就知道,好房子實在不多,心裡滿意的,口袋都跟不上腳步,買得起的,都需要大力整裝一番,如果客人有實力,我乾脆建議他們買的便宜一點的爛房子,低於市價10%,把那個10%拿來裝修房屋,也可以選擇自己滿意的配備,不過當然不是每一個客人都有這種時間成本的。

以下為南灣、東灣部分地區平均在市場上的天數與加價率最新數字,僅有住宅類且不分產品,若需特殊區域、產品分析,請與我聯繫。

通常特殊市場分析,我經常用到是在出價之前,提供我的客戶該城市、該社區、或該屋近1 mile 以內類似產品的數據分析等,同學區、同性質產品近期銷售最新市況,合理出價,不是瞞天喊價。

Palo Alto Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Palo Alto Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio.

Palo Alto↑、Mountain View ↓成交天數維持低檔,6~7月加價率維持高水平,好屋難求、買盤強勁。

Mountain View Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Mountain View Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Sunnyvale Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Sunnyvale Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio

Sunnyvale & Cupertino 成交日期近三個月明顯拉長,↑Sunnyvale 加價率持續萎縮,Cupertino↓下圖 加價率見到彈升。

Cupertino Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Cupertino Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Berryessa Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Berryessa Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio

Berryessa 維持穩定,這地區因為產品好壞非常兩極,唯不少Owner occupied的房子,影響銷售天數頗大。

Milpitas Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Milpitas Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio

Fremnot & Milpitas地區成交天數維持穩定,加價率受到7/21地震影響,可能會稍微影響買氣。

Fremont Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio
Fremont Avg DOM & Sale to List Price Ratio

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